Criminals' Response to Changing Crime Lucre

Shoukry, George

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2627288

Cited by 1 publication

(2 citation statements)

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“…One possible explanation based on anecdotes could be the presence of organized crime group members among Corinthians fans. Although our data limitations admittedly do not allow us to test such possibility or further rule out other potential rational explanations, the behavioral aspects of our findings complement related empirical literature that focuses on establishing evidence of how perpetrators respond to the gains from rational crime due to spot market prices of the target commodity, for example, Reilly and Witt (2008), Brabenec and Montag (2014), Shoukry (2016), Draca, Koutmeridis, and Machin (2018), and Kirchmaier et al (2019).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 64%

“…Indeed, our results offer suggestive evidence that following upset losses, theft perpetrators, who we demonstrate are likely the fans attending the games, tend to respond more to rational incentives for crime than their robbery counterparts. Our research thus complements and provides additional evidence toward a growing strand of economics of crime literature that explores gains from rational crime based on spot market prices for the target commodity, for example, Reilly and Witt (2008), Brabenec and Montag (2014), Shoukry (2016), Draca, Koutmeridis, and Machin (2018), and Kirchmaier et al (2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 71%

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Sporting Events, Emotional Cues, and Crime: Spatial and Temporal Evidence From Brazilian Soccer Games

Barbieri

Schneider

2020

Economic Inquiry

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Utilizing a novel data set of police reports that provides granular street-and vehiclelevel information on vehicle thefts and robberies in the city of São Paulo, Brazil, we explore the impact of soccer games and their outcomes on crime and study its spatial heterogeneity. Estimates from a regression discontinuity design suggest that crime increases immediately after home games in streets that are within a tight radius from the stadiums. The effect is driven by vehicle thefts with popular car models being more likely to be targeted and is particularly salient after upset losses and derby games. (JEL D91, R12, Z2) * We thank the coeditor, Rob Simmons, and three anonymous referees for their insightful comments and suggestions. We also thank Mahdi Majbouri, seminar participants at Bowdoin College, West Virginia University, Hamilton College and Vassar College, and conference participants at the LACBEE, WEAI and SEA meetings for their helpful feedback. We are grateful to Jiebei Luo for sharing expertise in data visualization. The remaining errors are ours.

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