2007
DOI: 10.1080/17446540600993837
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Credit risk pricing with both expected and unexpected default

Abstract: This article presents a tractable structural model in which default may be both expected or unexpected. The model can predict realistically high short-term credit spreads. Closed form solutions are provided for corporate bonds and default swaps. The analysis suggests that, in order for the observed short-term yield spreads on high grade corporate debt to be compensation for credit risk, the market must believe that unexpected default may occur at any time, even if it is extremely unlikely, and that it may caus… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(17 citation statements)
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References 7 publications
(4 reference statements)
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“…It is well known that the Hull-White model can take negative values with very small probability in theory, which is by no means appealing from the financial viewpoint. Nevertheless, the use of Hull-White model is very popular in both academia and industry community since in this case one can obtain a closed-form solution of the securities (see e.g.,Cathcart and El-Jahel [8], Realdon [9], Ballestra et al [11] ).…”
Section: Basic Assumptionsmentioning
confidence: 98%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…It is well known that the Hull-White model can take negative values with very small probability in theory, which is by no means appealing from the financial viewpoint. Nevertheless, the use of Hull-White model is very popular in both academia and industry community since in this case one can obtain a closed-form solution of the securities (see e.g.,Cathcart and El-Jahel [8], Realdon [9], Ballestra et al [11] ).…”
Section: Basic Assumptionsmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Pricing default securities under the hybrid model are now a popular area of research. One is referred to Cathcart and El-Jahel [8], Realdon [9], Hyong-Chol O [10], Ballestra et al [11]. In this paper, we will price a default bond with dynamic barrier under the hybrid model framework.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This is the shortcoming of the reduced approach. One of the recent trends is to combine both approaches, see for example Cathcart and El-Jahel (2003), Realdon (2006). In Cathcart and El-Jahel (2003) a PDE method is used, providing a semi-analytical pricing formula of defaultable bond combining the two approaches when the short rate follows CIR model and the default intensity is linearly dependent on the short rate.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Speaking on default recovery, most of authors including [2,3,4,6,9,12,13] have studied the case of exogenous default recovery which is independent on firm value whereas [1] have studied the case of endogenous recovery which is related to firm value, and [14] studied both cases of exogenous and endogenous recovery.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(See [3,4,6,7,9,12,13,14].) Cathcart et al [6] studied a pricing of corporate bonds in the case when the default intensity is a linear function of the interest rate and gave semi-analytical pricing formulae.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%