Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries

Abstract

This study aimed to examine the long and short-run relationships between credit market development and agricultural production using the Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) Bounds test for cointegration, as well as the direction of causality by using the Granger causality test. The results of the ARDL Bounds test revealed that institutional credit development had a significant long-run effect on agricultural production in all countries under examination, except for Tunisia; that is: Benin, Kenya, and Nigeria. In the short run, credit market development had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in Nigeria. By contrast, the effect of credit market development on agricultural production was negative in the short-run in Benin, Kenya, and Tunisia. The result of granger causality test revealed the existence of significant bi-directional causal links between institutional credit development and agricultural production in Benin, Kenya and Nigeria, no significant interdependence was found between the two variables in Tunisia. Capital formation had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries. Climate change was negatively associated with agricultural production in all countries except for Nigeria. The exchange rates and real interest rates had a negative effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries.

An analysis of long-term and short-term impact of climate change on rice production in India

“…At the same time, some authors (Temas et al. , 2021; Shikur, 2023; Osabohien et al. , 2022; Ozdemir, 2024; Chandio et al.…”

“…Several authors (Simionescu et al, 2021;Chandio et al, 2022a, b) suggested that domestic credit to the private sector played a significant role in boosting agricultural production. At the same time, some authors (Temas et al, 2021;Shikur, 2023;Osabohien et al, 2022;Ozdemir, 2024;Chandio et al, 2020b;Islam, 2020;He et al, 2022) suggested that institutional credit for agriculture positively affected agricultural production. Several previous scholars also incorporated fertilizer consumption (Nasrullah et al, 2021;Ali et al, 2022;Gul et al, 2022;Rizwanullah et al, 2023) and pesticide consumption (Ali et al, 2022;Hossain et al, 2022;Rizwanullah et al, 2023) into their models.…”