2024
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2023.4832
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Covid-19 Vaccines As a Condition of Employment: Impact on Uptake, Staffing, and Mortality in Elderly Care Homes

Abstract: Laws mandating vaccination against Covid-19 as a condition of employment in health and care sectors were commonplace during the pandemic. Using weekly data at the local authority level, we examine the impact of the vaccine mandate for elderly care homes in England on vaccine take-up, staffing levels, and mortality. Our identification strategy involves (1) comparing take-up and staffing in English elderly care homes relative to other social care settings unaffected by the mandate; (2) comparing take-up and staf… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…This is compatible with other studies that found vaccine mandates had little effect on absolute changes (generally <1%) in vaccine uptake in Canada and the United States (Anato et al 2022;Howard-Williams et al 2022). Of note, vaccine mandates for employment in elderly care homes in England was associated with an absolute reduction of 12% in the proportion of unvaccinated workers, but had no effect on resident COVID-19 mortality rates (Girma and Paton 2023). In the college study referenced, there was no significant effect of college vaccine mandates on cases in the surrounding community in models that adjusted for mask mandates, that dropped counties with staff vaccine mandates, or that adjusted for the effect of staggered college re-opening dates (Acton et al 2022).…”
Section: Cost-benefit Analysissupporting
confidence: 88%
“…This is compatible with other studies that found vaccine mandates had little effect on absolute changes (generally <1%) in vaccine uptake in Canada and the United States (Anato et al 2022;Howard-Williams et al 2022). Of note, vaccine mandates for employment in elderly care homes in England was associated with an absolute reduction of 12% in the proportion of unvaccinated workers, but had no effect on resident COVID-19 mortality rates (Girma and Paton 2023). In the college study referenced, there was no significant effect of college vaccine mandates on cases in the surrounding community in models that adjusted for mask mandates, that dropped counties with staff vaccine mandates, or that adjusted for the effect of staggered college re-opening dates (Acton et al 2022).…”
Section: Cost-benefit Analysissupporting
confidence: 88%
“…However, the principles we outline here could easily be applied to other Covid-19 policies such as mask and vaccine mandates. For example, Girma and Paton (2023) find vaccine mandates for care home workers in England had no observable impact on mortality amongst elderly residents but led to a significant and potentially damaging reduction in staffing. Had such policies been subject to a more rigorous ethical analysis when being proposed, it is likely that at least some of the adverse consequences of the restrictive Covid-19 policy might have been avoided.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is, however, research suggesting that this may be the case. For example, a study of NHS elderly care home staff in England indicated that vaccine mandates led to lower rates of unvaccinated HCWs, especially among lower income workers (Girma & Paton, 2023) - unsurprisingly given that refusal was punished with job loss. That being said, better samples or more sophisticated methodological approaches would still be limited in their ability to address important legal and ethical challenges, that we elaborate on shortly.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, if the goal is to provide safer and better quality of care, then the success of the policy of mandated vaccination is questionable. For example, the study mentioned earlier, of NHS elderly care home staff in England, indicated a reduction not only in rates of unvaccinated HCWs but also of between 3 and 4% in the healthcare labour force , equivalent to 14,000 to 19,000 fewer HCWs, that had a negative impact on the health and well-being of residents in these establishments, thus undermining the ostensible goal of the policy (Girma & Paton, 2023).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%