COVID‐19 prevention and control interventions: What can we learn from the pandemic management experience in Morocco?

Bouchriti, Youssef; Kabbachi, Belkacem; Sine, Hasnaa; Naciri, Aziz; Kharbach, Ahmed; Baba, Mohamed Amine; Achbani, Abderrahmane

doi:10.1002/hpm.3398

Cited by 5 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…In our study, we found no significant delay in diagnosis as reported by S. Aguiar Jr and al [ 9 ] and we found no change in the percentage of cancer diagnosed at the complication stage as found by Jian Cui and al [ 23 ] who also found a decrease in the number of asymptomatic cases this number is already extremely low in our country, as there is no national screening plan for digestive cancers [ 25 ].…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 75%

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on digestive cancer staging, a case series

omar

Anass

Benzarti

et al. 2022

Annals of Medicine &Amp; Surgery

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 75%

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on digestive cancer staging, a case series

omar

Anass

Benzarti

et al. 2022

Annals of Medicine &Amp; Surgery

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“…More precisely, our analysis shows, in particular, that, while the epidemic growth is exponentially fast, by respecting a certain logistic growth, the epidemic might remain under control [6]. As a consequence, a non-negligible number of expenses can be saved.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 85%

“…To exemplify, we can consider the simple model ψ(S, Z) = S − Z = 0. In this case, we obtain Equation (6), which is linear. In a general situation, we obtain a nonlinear system, which must be solved by a convenient method to determine z.…”

Section: Numerical Methods For Uqmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The first cases, from Wuhan, were notified to the WHO on 31 December 2019 [3,4] while, Morocco notified its first case on 02 March 2020 [1]. As in many countries of the world, it is valuable to understand the growth and the timing in responding to the logistic needs of the health system [5][6][7]. The aim of the present paper is to study different wave comparisons of the number of virus patients, visualization of the most critical distribution of contamination cases in Morocco and the cumulative distribution function of the number of confirmed cases and deaths.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Uncertainty Quantification for Epidemic Risk Management: Case of SARS-CoV-2 in Morocco

Hammadi

Raillani

Ndiaye

et al. 2023

IJERPH

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In this paper, we propose a new method for epidemic risk modelling and prediction, based on uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches. In UQ, we consider the state variables as members of a convenient separable Hilbert space, and we look for their representation in finite dimensional subspaces generated by truncations of a suitable Hilbert basis. The coefficients of the finite expansion can be determined by approaches established in the literature, adapted to the determination of the probability distribution of epidemic risk variables. Here, we consider two approaches: collocation (COL) and moment matching (MM). Both are applied to the case of SARS-CoV-2 in Morocco, as an epidemic risk example. For all the epidemic risk indicators computed in this study (number of detections, number of deaths, number of new cases, predictions and human impact probabilities), the proposed models were able to estimate the values of the state variables with precision, i.e., with very low root mean square errors (RMSE) between predicted values and observed ones. Finally, the proposed approaches are used to generate a decision-making tool for future epidemic risk management, or, more generally, a quantitative disaster management approach in the humanitarian supply chain.

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“…Literature on COVID in Africa has mainly focused on prediction and modelling of the COVID epidemiology [ 5 – 11 ]. Many studies have analysed the capacity of health systems in Africa to respond to the pandemic, highlighting some positive experiences and strengths, such as technical leadership and multi-sectoral responses [ 12 ], positive effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions [ 13 , 14 ], implementation of Infection Prevention and Control (IPC) Committees [ 15 ], primary care approaches and benefits of technological innovations [ 16 ]. However, many studies also highlighted limited capacity to control the COVID pandemic [ 17 ], including poor testing capacity, under-funded health systems, lack of Intensive Care Unit beds, shortages of ventilators, personal protective equipment (PPE) for health workers, medical equipment, and medicines.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Learning from implementation of a COVID case management desk guide and training: a pilot study in Sierra Leone

Witter,

Zou,

Cheedella

et al. 2023

BMC Health Serv Res

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Background When the COVID pandemic hit the world, there was need for applied guides and training materials to support frontline health care staff to manage patients effectively and safely and to educate themselves and communities. This article reports on the development and piloting of such a set of materials in Sierra Leone, which were based on international evidence but adapted to the local context. Reflecting on this experience, including community and health system barriers and enablers, is important to prepare for future regional shocks. Methods This study, in Bombali district in 2020, piloted user-friendly COVID guides for frontline health workers (the intervention), which was evaluated using facility checklists (pre and post training), routine data analysis and 32 key informant interviews. Results Key informants at district, hospital and community health centre levels identified gains from the training and desk guides, including improved diagnosis, triaging, infection prevention and management of patients. They also reported greater confidence to share messages on protection with colleagues and community members, which was needed to encourage continued use of essential services during the pandemic. However, important barriers were also revealed, including the lack of testing facilities, which reduced the sense of urgency, as few cases were identified. Actions based on the Ebola experience, such as setting up testing and isolation centres, which the community avoided, were not appropriate to COVID. Stigma and fear were important factors, although these were reduced with outreach activities. Supplies of essential medicines and personal protective equipment were also lacking. Conclusion This pilot study demonstrated the relevance and importance of guides adapted to the context, which were able to improve the confidence of health staff to manage their own and the community’s fears in the face of a new pandemic and improve their skills. Previous epidemics, particularly Ebola, complicated this by both creating structures that could be revitalised but also assumptions and behaviours that were not adapted to the new disease. Our study documents positive adaptations and resilience by health staff but also chronic system weaknesses (particularly for medicines, supplies and equipment) which must be urgently addressed before the next shock arrives.

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COVID‐19 prevention and control interventions: What can we learn from the pandemic management experience in Morocco?

Cited by 5 publications

References 6 publications

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on digestive cancer staging, a case series

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on digestive cancer staging, a case series

Uncertainty Quantification for Epidemic Risk Management: Case of SARS-CoV-2 in Morocco

Learning from implementation of a COVID case management desk guide and training: a pilot study in Sierra Leone

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