COVID‐19 lockdown and traffic accidents: Lessons from the pandemic

Barnes, Stephen R.; Beland, Louis‐Philippe; Huh, Jason; Kim, Dongwoo

doi:10.1111/coep.12562

Cited by 20 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 35 publications

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“…Qatar observed 73% drop in traffic violations and 37% drop in traffic accidents during the period of COVID-19-related preventive measures ( 14 ). Somewhat similar percentage reductions were reported for Louisiana, U.S., by Barnes et al who found 46% reduction in traffic accidents involving injuries ( 5 ). Katrakazas et al explored driving behavior in Greece and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) using data collected through mobile phone applications ( 25 ).…”

Section: Literature Reviewsupporting

confidence: 79%

“…Consequently, various countries of the world saw unparalleled changes in mobility pertaining to different sectors ( 3 , 4 ). The substantial reduction in mobility also affected the accident and fatality rates ( 5 ). It can be noted that the non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) policies varied widely across different countries, ranging from restrictions on international and domestic travel to the curtailment of public and private gatherings ( 2 ).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Impacts of COVID-19-Related Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on Mobility and Accidents in Bangladesh

Enam

Rahman

Mahmud

et al. 2022

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

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Transport plays a major role in spreading contagious diseases such as COVID-19 by facilitating social contacts. The standard response to fighting COVID-19 in most countries has been imposing a lockdown—including on the transport sector—to slow down the spread. Though the Government of Bangladesh also imposed a lockdown quite early, it was forced to relax the lockdown for economic reasons. This motivates this study to assess the interaction between various non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) policies and transport sector outcomes, such as mobility and accidents, in Bangladesh. The study explores the effect of NPIs on both intra- and inter-regional mobility. Intra-regional mobility is captured using Google mobility reports which provide information about the number of visitors at different activity locations. Inter-regional, or long-distance, mobility is captured using vehicle count information from toll booths on a major bridge. Modeling shows that, in most cases, the policy interventions had the desired impact on people’s mobility patterns. Closure of education institutes, offices, public transport, and shopping malls reduced mobility at most locations. The closure of garment factories reduced mobility for work and at transit stations only. Mobility was increased at all places except at residential locations, after the wearing of masks was made mandatory. Reduced traffic because of policy interventions resulted in a lower number of accidents (crashes) and related fatalities. However, mobility-normalized crashes and fatalities increased nationally. The outcomes of the study are especially useful in understanding the differential impacts of various policy measures on transport, and thus would help future evidence-based decision-making.

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Section: Literature Reviewsupporting

confidence: 79%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of COVID-19-Related Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on Mobility and Accidents in Bangladesh

Enam

Rahman

Mahmud

et al. 2022

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

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“…The trajectory of the more urgent ED care visits contrasts that of the less‐urgent preventive care visits, which supports our Hypothesis 2, suggesting that the reduced ED visits could reflect the reduced transmission of other infectious diseases because of improved health‐protective behaviors (Chiu et al., 2020), and reduced air pollution (Chen et al., 2020; He et al., 2020). The incidence of injuries could have been lowered because of reduced work and traffic accidents during the pandemic (Barnes et al., 2022; Qi et al., 2022). Additionally, the 10%–18% reductions in ED and chronic care visits by October 2020 observed in our sample could include some unnecessary or inappropriate care that was spared for the benefit of patients and the healthcare system (Moynihan et al., 2021).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic and related policy responses on non‐COVID‐19 healthcare utilization in China

Huang

Liu

2022

Health Economics

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We investigate the impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic and related policy responses on non‐COVID‐19 healthcare utilization (i.e., different types of outpatient care) up to October 2020 in China. Using an administrative database from a large prefecture‐level city, we find that both direct exposure to the COVID‐19 pandemic and the strict containment policy responses led to reductions in outpatient care utilization. The largest decline during the lockdown was observed in preventive care visits, which nevertheless recovered to pre‐pandemic levels 2 months after the lockdown. The disruptions in prenatal care visits could not be offset by the recovery later on. Chronic care and emergency department visits had not returned to pre‐pandemic levels as of October 2020, which may be driven by extended days' supply of prescription medication, increased use of telemedicine, and improved health‐protective behaviors. In the reopening period, there were increases in visits for mental and sleep disorders, especially among children, and for medical abortion. Among health facilities at all levels, primary care facilities saw the least reductions in total outpatient visits. Our results emphasize the need for strategies to ensure access to urgent or essential care services when managing the current epidemiologic transition and future crises.

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“…Second, conclusions based on excess mortality potentially confound true deaths with other changes as a result of the pandemic. For example, Barnes et al (2020) and Oguzoglu (2020) report a reduction in traffic accidents and fatalities across Louisiana and 31 metropolitan areas in Turkey, respectively, due to implementation of various social distancing measures. Dang and Trinh (2020) documents a significant reduction of air pollution in Vietnam due to the pandemic.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

COVID-19 Severity: A New Approach to Quantifying Global Cases and Deaths

Millimet

Parmeter

2022

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society

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As the COVID‐19 pandemic has progressed, so too has the recognition that cases and deaths have been underreported, perhaps vastly so. Here, we present an econometric strategy to estimate the true number of COVID‐19 cases and deaths for 61 and 56 countries, respectively, from 1 January 2020 to 3 November 2020. Specifically, we estimate a ‘structural’ model based on the SIR epidemiological model extended to incorporate underreporting. The results indicate significant underreporting by magnitudes that align with existing research and conjectures by public health experts. While our approach requires some strong assumptions, these assumptions are very different from the equally strong assumptions required by other approaches addressing underreporting in the assessment of the extent of the pandemic. Thus, we view our approach as a complement to existing methods.

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COVID‐19 lockdown and traffic accidents: Lessons from the pandemic

Cited by 20 publications

References 35 publications

Impacts of COVID-19-Related Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on Mobility and Accidents in Bangladesh

Impacts of COVID-19-Related Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on Mobility and Accidents in Bangladesh

The impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic and related policy responses on non‐COVID‐19 healthcare utilization in China

COVID-19 Severity: A New Approach to Quantifying Global Cases and Deaths

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