Cost-Utility Analysis for Colorectal Cancer Screening According to the Initiating Age of National Cancer Screening Program in Korea

Abstract

Background This study aimed to identify the most cost-effective strategy for colorectal cancer screening using the fecal immunochemical test (FIT), focusing on screening initiation age in Korea. Methods We designed Markov simulation models targeting individuals aged 40 years or older. Twelve strategies combining screening initiation ages (40, 45, or 50 years old), termination ages (80 or no limit), and intervals (1 or 2 years) were modeled, and the most cost-effective strategy was selected. The robustness of the results was confirmed using one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Furthermore, the cost-effectiveness of the qualitative and quantitative FIT methods was verified using scenario analysis. Results The 2-year interval strategy with a screening age range of 45–80 years was the most cost-effective (incremental cost-utility ratio = KRW 7,281,646/quality adjusted life years). The most sensitive variables in the results were transition rate from advanced adenoma to local cancer and discount rate. The uncertainty in the model was substantially low. Moreover, strategies starting at the age of 40 years were also cost-effective but considered suboptimal. The scenario analysis showed that there was no significant difference in cost-effectiveness between strategies with various relative screening ratio of quantitative and qualitative method. Conclusion The screening method for advancing the initiation age, as presented in the 2015 revised national screening recommendations, was superior regarding cost-effectiveness. This study provides a new paradigm for the development of a national cancer screening system in Korea, which can be utilized as a scientific basis for economic evaluations.