Abstract:During the last several years many authors have found that the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation is useful in the prediction of not only postoperative mortality but also of the length of stay in the intensive care unit, complication rate and overall treatment expenses. This study included 329 patients who had undergone isolated surgical myocardial revascularization at our Department during the period from January 1st to June 6th, 2008. For the operative risk evaluation, the additive Europea… Show more
“…The application of data mining when solving the issue of predicting in-hospital outcome in ACS has not been explored extensively in the literature [11][12][13][14]. This study includes ACS patients after an invasive strategy (primary PCI for STEMI/urgent PCI for NSTEMI and UA) and focuses on in-hospital mortality.…”
Data mining approach enabled the authors to develop a model capable of predicting the in-hospital outcome following percutaneous coronary intervention. The model showed excellent sensitivity and specificity during internal validation.
“…The application of data mining when solving the issue of predicting in-hospital outcome in ACS has not been explored extensively in the literature [11][12][13][14]. This study includes ACS patients after an invasive strategy (primary PCI for STEMI/urgent PCI for NSTEMI and UA) and focuses on in-hospital mortality.…”
Data mining approach enabled the authors to develop a model capable of predicting the in-hospital outcome following percutaneous coronary intervention. The model showed excellent sensitivity and specificity during internal validation.
“…Due to the known constraints of ready-made models and somewhat limited results in our population published in the previous papers [2,7,8,10], we have decided to create a local model. This endeavor has been implemented through support of the Provincial Secretariat for Science and Technological Development of the Autonomous Province of Vojvodina (Serbia) (Grant number 114-451-2131/2011).…”
The locally derived model shows satisfactory results, with good calibration and discriminative power. The local model specifically outperforms all other European systems in terms of discriminatory power in combined surgery subset.
“…In our previous studies [8][9][10][11], we analyzed the predictive value of the EuroSCORE model in coronary surgery, as well as trends of risk factors included in the EuroSCORE model. It was observed that the profile of coronary patients undergoing surgery in one of the cardiac surgery centres is drastically changing primarily due to the significantly advanced percutaneous techniques for myocardial revascularization.…”
The additive and logistic European Systems for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation overestimate while the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II underestimates the risk in cardiac surgery. We believe that a locally derived model would be of great use in the everyday clinical practice since it would faithfully illustrate the actual state of patient population of the region where it was developed. At the same time it would provide the accurate prediction of surgical outcome.
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