The best time and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level during an early lamivudine treatment period for predicting the long-term outcome are unknown. We aimed to determine the optimal time and HBV DNA level during an early treatment period for the prediction of the response after a 5-year lamivudine treatment. The HBV DNA levels at the baseline, at weeks 2, 4, 8, 12, 16, 24, and 32, and at yearly intervals until year 5 were measured in 74 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic HBV patients receiving lamivudine treatment. Seventeen patients achieved an ideal response [HBV DNA level < 2000 copies/mL (400 IU/ mL), HBeAg seroconversion, normal alanine aminotransferase levels, and absence of tyrosine-methionine-aspartate-aspartate (YMDD) mutations] at year 5. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed good predictions as early as week 4. The areas under the curve for weeks 4 and 16 were 0.89 and 0.94, respectively. Predictive indices revealed 4 and 3.6 log copies/mL (2000 and 800 IU/mL, respectively) to be the best cutoff HBV DNA levels for these 2 times, respectively. All patients with HBV DNA levels lower than these respective cutoff levels at the 2 times achieved an ideal response at year 5. Patients with HBV DNA levels above these cutoff values had 83.8% and 87.7% chances of not achieving an ideal response at year 5, respectively. Conclusion: The measurement of the HBV DNA levels at week 4 of lamivudine treatment should be performed in all patients to predict the long-term outcome. The treatment can be continued for those with HBV DNA levels of less than 4 log copies/mL (2000 IU/mL). The addition of or switch to alternative antiviral agents should be considered for patients who fail to achieve this early target. (HEPATOLOGY 2007;46:1695-1703 A pproximately 400 million people worldwide have chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection, of whom 25%-40% will develop long-term sequelae of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and/or cirrhotic complications. 1 The prevention of disease progression is the primary target for the treatment of CHB. Recent evidence shows that a high hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level is associated with a higher risk of development of HCC and cirrhosis. 2,3 Effective viral suppression by the nucleoside analogue, lamivudine, reduces the risk of complications in patients with or without advanced disease. 4,5 However, a prolonged lamivudine treatment is associated with increasing incidence of drug-resistant mutations [tyrosine-methionine-aspartate-aspartate (YMDD) mutants], which reaches more than 70% after 5 years of lamivudine treatment. 6 Despite this, lamivudine is still commonly used for several reasons. It has the longest surveillance for safety. Twenty to twenty-five percent of patients do not develop YMDD mutations and continue to have satisfactory viral suppression even after a prolonged treatment. 5 Moreover, it is the only nucleoside/nucleotide analogue proven in randomized controlled studies to reduce disease progression. 4 Therefore, identifying patients who are likely to achieve an ideal...