“…Indeed, in the last two decades, abnormally intense warm‐water events have affected both high and low‐latitude reefs in the SEIO, of which the 2011 heatwave was the most severe (Abdo, Bellchambers, & Evans, ; Depczynski et al., ; Feng, McPhaden, Xie, & Hafner, ; Hobbs & McDonald, ; Moore et al., ; Wernberg et al., ; Zhang, Feng, Hendon, Hobday, & Zinke, ; Zinke et al., ). Moreover, since 2011, anomalously warm SSTs have caused persistent summer heat stress and severe coral bleaching at many SEIO reefs (Caputi, Jackson, & Pearce, ; Feng et al., ; Lafratta, Fromont, Speare, & Schönberg, ). These stresses are likely to interact with aspects of background temperature variation to produce changes in coral communities that may not be linearly related to historical temperature variation.…”