Coordination and Bandwagon Effects: How Past Rankings Shape the Behavior of Voters and Candidates
Riako Granzier,
Vincent Pons,
Clemence Tricaud
Abstract:Candidates' placements in polls and past elections can be powerful coordination devices for parties and voters. Using a regression discontinuity design in French two-round elections, we show that candidates who place first in the first round are more likely to stay in the race and win than those who placed second. These effects are even larger for ranking second versus third, and also present for third versus fourth. They stem from allied parties agreeing on which candidate should drop out, voters coordinating… Show more
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