Converged ensemble simulations of climate: possible trends in total solar irradiance cannot explain global warming alone
Gábor Drótos,
Mátyás Herein,
Tímea Haszpra
et al.
Abstract:We address the hypothetical question of whether an increasing total solar irradiance (TSI) trend, without anthropogenic contributions, could be sufficient to explain the ongoing global warming. To this end, the intermediate-complexity climate model PlaSim is used. To consider the total internal variability, we present a set of ensemble simulations, with different forcing histories in TSI and CO2 concentration, that have converged sufficiently tightly to the relevant probability distributions to provide a satis… Show more
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