Consistency Analysis for Judgment Quantification in Hierarchical Decision Model

Abbas, Mustafa S.

doi:10.15760/etd.2695

Cited by 14 publications

(35 citation statements)

References 119 publications

(64 reference statements)

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“…Recent research conducted by Dr. Mustafa Abbas refines the inconsistency measure using the Root Sum of the Variance (RSV) method [169], versus the mean of the standard deviations to measure inconsistency. Dr. Abbas' research objectives were to "…establish consistency threshold that are tied to the number of variables and linked to corresponding ∝ levels."…”

Section: Weaknesses Of the Analysis Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Development of a Technology Transfer Score for Evaluating Research Proposals: Case Study of Demand Response Technologies in the Pacific Northwest

Estep¹

2000

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Investment in Research and Development (R&D) is necessary for innovation,allowing an organization to maintain a competitive edge. The U.S. Federal Government invests billions of dollars, primarily in basic research technologies to help fill the pipeline for other organizations to take the technology into commercialization. However, as Lewis Duncan suggests, it is not about just investing in innovation, it is about converting that research into application. A cursory review of the research proposal evaluation criteria suggests that there is little to no emphasis placed on the transfer of research results. This effort is motivated by a need to move research into application.One segment that is facing technology challenges is the energy sector.Historically, the electric grid has been stable and predictable; therefore, there were no immediate drivers to innovate. However, an aging infrastructure, integration of renewable energy, and aggressive energy efficiency targets are motivating the need for research and to put promising results into application. Many technologies exist or are in development but the rate at which they are being adopted is slow.The goal of this research is to develop a decision model that can be used to identify the technology transfer potential of a research proposal. An organization can use the model to select the proposals whose research outcomes are more likely to move into application. The model begins to close the chasm between research and application -otherwise known as the "valley of death".ii A comprehensive literature review was conducted to understand when the idea of technology application or transfer should begin. Next, the attributes that are necessary for successful technology transfer were identified. The emphasis of successful technology transfer occurs when there is a productive relationship between the researchers and the technology recipient. A hierarchical decision model, along with desirability curves, was used to understand the complexities of the researcher and recipient relationship, specific to technology transfer. In this research, the evaluation criteria of several research organizations were assessed to understand the extent to which the success attributes that were identified in literature were considered when reviewing research proposals. While some of the organizations included a few of the success attributes, none of the organizations considered all of the attributes. In addition, none of the organizations quantified the value of the success attributes.The effectiveness of the model relies extensively on expert judgments to complete the model validation and quantification. Subject matter experts ranging from senior executives with extensive experience in technology transfer to principal research investigators from national labs, universities, utilities, and non -profit research organizations were used to ensure a comprehensive and cross-functional validation and quantification of the decision model.The quantified model was validated using a case study i...

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Section: Weaknesses Of the Analysis Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Dr. Abbas' research objectives were to "…establish consistency threshold that are tied to the number of variables and linked to corresponding ∝ levels." [169].…”

Section: Weaknesses Of the Analysis Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development of a Technology Transfer Score for Evaluating Research Proposals: Case Study of Demand Response Technologies in the Pacific Northwest

Estep¹

2000

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“…He found the 10% threshold to be quite conservative when experts were asked to make comparative judgment involving 5 elements [162]. Therefore, the data for E2…”

Section: Figure 21 Inconsistent Expert Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

A Measurement System for Science and Engineering Research Center Performance Evaluation

Gibson¹

2000

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This research provides performance metrics for cooperative research centers that enhance translational research formed by the partnership of government, industry and academia. Centers are part of complex ecosystems that vary greatly in the type of science conducted, organizational structures and expected outcomes. The ability to realize their objectives depends on transparent measurement systems to assist in decision making in research translation.

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“…o Time Needs during using the Technique: The duration that is required for executing the project assessment activity by the integrated tools [265] [293].…”

Section: Finalizing the Model Development And Implementationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, Expert 4 had an inconsistency at Level 2 (criteria) at value of 1.1. Therefore, in order to check if the Expert 4's judgments were ok, a calculation of his inconsistency level was performed using Abaas's calculations of the RSV [298], after which it was compared with the acceptable threshold, as shown below in this section.…”

Section: Data Quantificationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluating Project Assessment Techniques for High-Profile Transportation Projects Development and Delivery: Case of State Departments of Transportation (DOTs) in the United States

Khalifa¹

2000

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Time delays and cost overruns in construction projects are generally due to factors such as inappropriate planning, design errors, unexpected site conditions, inadvisable tools selection, change scope, weather conditions, lack of resources, and other project changes.Time delays and cost overruns are of concern to most project managers, owners, and governments. These elements of time and cost are two of the critical defects that impact the construction project delivery. These defects can lead to project failures and to various negative issues like increasing in disagreements among the project team, the contractor, suppliers, and the owner.State Departments of Transportation (DOTs) in the U.S. continue to spend heavily on roads, highways, and bridges construction, as well as development, maintenance, and expansion. This continued financial commitment reflects decades of commitment to improve the transportation service for safer and better use by the general public. Despite the notable efforts from most of the states to develop the transportation infrastructure, budget restrictions and lack of funds are some of the major challenges faced by DOTs.Highway and bridge infrastructure has a high potential growth in the U.S. construction market. Well-organized highway and bridge project investment decision-making becomes increasingly crucial in the transportation sector. In this research, transportation is specified to highway and bridge projects, and it focused on high-profile projects. These projects are ii defined as high-cost projects, and are associated with higher project delivery risk (typically $100 -$500 million).All states are working with their state transportation plan, listing the projects based on each state priorities and population growth. Proper planning leads to the right decision regarding selecting the best alternative within budget, and it must reflect certain core principles, including a comprehensive analysis. To facilitate such a decision process, decision makers need a trusted decision model that considers all important options and impacts. By using a decision model, decision-making will not be subjectively influenced to favor one option or group. The decision model becomes the primary tool for selecting the best option, based on its structure levels, perspectives, sub-criteria, and experts' input.Recently, there is an apparent need for a decision model to help DOTs evaluating their options. Effective project delivery assessment tools, techniques, or practices are strongly needed to improve transportation construction projects' performance.The research objective is to develop a comprehensive decision model that can be used by project managers and their teams to choose the most effective project assessment technique for measuring the success of performance and outcomes related to the delivery of transportation projects. This research was focused on the assessment techniques that are used in the development phase within the transportation project lifecycle phases.To this end, the research identified ...

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Consistency Analysis for Judgment Quantification in Hierarchical Decision Model

Cited by 14 publications

References 119 publications

Development of a Technology Transfer Score for Evaluating Research Proposals: Case Study of Demand Response Technologies in the Pacific Northwest

Development of a Technology Transfer Score for Evaluating Research Proposals: Case Study of Demand Response Technologies in the Pacific Northwest

A Measurement System for Science and Engineering Research Center Performance Evaluation

Evaluating Project Assessment Techniques for High-Profile Transportation Projects Development and Delivery: Case of State Departments of Transportation (DOTs) in the United States

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