G iven the substantial impact of costeffectiveness analyses on public health policies, it is important to safeguard their robustness. However, most published costeffectiveness analyses report favourable incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, and industryfunded analyses are more likely to report desirable ratios.1 Some journals discourage cost-effectiveness analysis studies that have been conducted or funded by sponsors of the examined interventions.2 Examples exist in which cost-effectiveness analysis studies on the same topic have reached different conclusions depending on who funded them.3 Yet the mechanism for such discrepancies in seemingly rigorous quantitative analyses is unclear.The process of cost-effectiveness analysis involves making assumptions about the main parameters of interest that enter calculations. Baseline values and plausible ranges are specified. When baseline assumptions vary across different cost-effectiveness analyses, results may diverge considerably. We evaluated the baseline assumptions of the diagnostic accuracy of a widely used and studied screening test, 4 the Papanicolaou (Pap) test (i.e., conventional cervical cytology) in cost-effectiveness analysis studies. The diagnostic accuracy of the Pap test has been studied extensively, 5-7 and assumptions about its accuracy are pivotal for any cost-effectiveness analysis related to screening for and prevention of cervical cancer. Moreover, alternative approaches, such as DNA testing for human papilloma virus (HPV) or HPV vaccines, are quite expensive. New tests may get favourable cost-effectiveness ratios against the Pap test if the performance of the Pap test is assumed to be suboptimal.We therefore examined whether cost-effectiveness analysis studies involving screening for and prevention of cervical cancer assumed different diagnostic performance estimates for the Pap test and whether differences reflected sponsorrelated biases.
Industry involvement and baseline assumptions of cost-effectiveness analyses: diagnostic accuracy of the Papanicolaou testNikolaos P. Polyzos MD, Antonis Valachis MD, Davide Mauri MD, John P.A. Ioannidis MD Research CMAJ Background: Industry involvement has been associated with more favourable cost-effectiveness ratios in cost-effective ness analyses, but the mechanisms for this association are unclear. We evaluated whether the assumed accuracy of the Papanicolaou (Pap) test was correlated with the features of cost-effectiveness analysis studies.