Conflict in Yemen: From Ethnic Fighting to Food Riots

Gros, Andreas; Gard-Murray, Alexander; Bar‐Yam, Yaneer

doi:10.1007/978-1-4939-1705-1_15

Cited by 5 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…Systemic approaches have been applied across a wide range of domains as an overarching framework for managing human behaviour (Patton & McMahon, 2006), such as teaching and learning (Prince & Felder, 2006),, climate change (Norman, Bar-Yam, Read, & Taleb, 2015), ethnic violence (Gros, Gard-Murray, & Bar-Yam, 2015) and social networks (Morales, Vavilala, Benito, & Bar-Yam,-2017). 'Whole systems approaches' (Illingworth, Forbat, Hubbard, & Kearney, 2010) is a way of managing complex illnesses through examining how various services impact one another and increasing efficiency across the whole system.…”

Section: The Concept Of Systems Thinkingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Governance of patient‐centred care: A systemic approach to cancer treatment

2020

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Currently, policymaking in cancer treatment is based on a reductionist approach and does not consider the differing views of multiple stakeholders in a systemic fashion. Non‐integrated views are not representative of the totality of the real‐life treatment context, and policymakers need to capture that holistic representation in their decision making. This paper uses a ‘systems thinking’ approach to propose a holistic way of capturing different stakeholders' views and integrating these into optimal treatment. Key stakeholders operate within their own system, as well as within the overarching complex system of cancer treatment care. An integrated view will enable policymakers to better understand the various issues involved and invoke a more holistic governance approach that encourages greater integration and emergence. Subject matter experts in Australia were consulted to provide narratives that were used to construct individual systemic views (systemigrams) to represent the constructivist perspectives of two key stakeholder groups: patients and oncology nurses. Semi‐structured interviews were conducted to validate the representativeness of the systemigrams created. The systemigrams that captured the perceptions and objectives of patients and nurses were found to be significantly different from each other. Understanding that individual views are only a part of the complex system can lead to a better appreciation of failures within cancer treatment and how to address these through optimal governance. Dynamic integration of differing perspectives in the cancer treatment journey is important. Recognizing and encouraging emergent behaviour among key stakeholders will enable effective governance. Management in cancer care is currently largely undertaken through individual silos with little interaction between those silos. This paper presents a new way of visualizing and conceptualizing governance of cancer treatment that will make governance more holistic and will improve patient‐centred care.

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Section: The Concept Of Systems Thinkingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Governance of patient‐centred care: A systemic approach to cancer treatment

2020

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“…This has significant implications for the achievement of the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly SDG 1 (no poverty) and SDG 2 (zero hunger). The focus on food price bubbles is in part due to the significant impacts on sustainability concerning hunger, social unrest, and poverty [42][43][44][45][46]. The occurrence of food price bubbles carries noteworthy implications for sustainability, encompassing issues such as hunger, poverty, social unrest, environmental degradation, and price volatility.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Food Price Bubbles: Food Price Indices of Turkey, the FAO, the OECD, and the IMF

Özcan

2023

Sustainability

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Food price bubbles are a phenomenon in which the cost of some food items or food commodities climbs quickly and unreasonably before collapsing due to reasons such as speculation, supply and demand imbalances, meteorological occurrences, and governmental actions. Governments and academics keep an eye on food prices to spot and address these bubbles. The aim of this paper is to analyze the food price bubble phenomenon despite the global slowdown by examining its origins, consequences, and policy solutions. The study’s contribution lies in its investigation of the presence of a potential bubble formation in food prices, which have experienced a surge globally and particularly in Turkey in recent years. The research examines the behavior of bubble formation in food prices in Turkey, the FAO, the OECD, and the IMF between 1992 and 2022 using the ADF, SADF, and GSADF tests. These tests can help identify when asset prices deviate significantly from their fundamental values and may be at risk of a sharp correction. The TUR, FAO, OECD, and IMF variables all show distinct bubble formations, with the TUR variable having 130 periods from 1995 to 2006, the FAO having 8 price bubble occurrences, the OECD having 12 different bubble formations, and the IMF having 4 distinct bubble formations. The results indicate the existence of food price bubbles that demonstrate disparities from their inherent values grounded in market fundamentals.

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“…We constructed a quantitative model that identified the causes of the rises in global food prices to be biofuels, particularly the conversion of corn to ethanol in the U.S., and increased financial speculation in the agricultural commodities futures market [9]. In addition to the global analyses, we have analyzed the origins of violence in Yemen [14] and the increase in cost of Mexico's maize imports [15]. This summer, a severe drought in the US interrupted a declining food price trend and contributed to a new price peak, and the effects are being felt worldwide [11].…”

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confidence: 99%

South African Riots: Repercussion of the Global Food Crisis and US Drought

Bar-Yam

Lagi

Bar‐Yam

2015

Conflict and Complexity

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High and volatile global food prices have led to food riots and played a critical role in triggering the Arab Spring revolutions in recent years. The severe drought in the US in the summer of 2012 led to a new increase in food prices. Through the fall, they remained at a threshold above which the riots and revolutions had predominantly occurred. Global prices at this level create conditions where an exacerbating local circumstance can trigger unrest. Global corn (maize) prices reached new highs, and countries that depend mostly on maize are more likely to experience high local food prices and associated pressures toward social unrest. Here we analyze the conditions in South Africa, which is a heavily maize-dependent country, and we find that consumer food indices have increased dramatically. Coinciding with the food price increases this summer, massive labor strikes in mining and agriculture have led to the greatest single incident of social violence since the fall of apartheid in 1994. Worker demands for dramatic pay increases reflect that their wages have not kept up with drastic increases in the prices of necessities, especially food. Without attention to the global food price situation, more incidents of food-based social instability are likely to arise.Other countries that have manifested food-related protests and riots in 2012 include Haiti (prior to the impact of Hurricane Sandy) and Argentina. Moreover, these cases of unrest are just the most visible symptom of widespread suffering of poor populations worldwide due to elevated food prices.Our analysis has shown that policy decisions that would directly impact food prices are decreasing the conversion of maize to ethanol in the US, and reimposing regulations on commodity futures markets to prevent excessive speculation, which we have shown causes bubbles and crashes in these markets. Absent such policy actions, governments and companies should track and mitigate the impact of high and volatile food prices on citizens and employees.

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Conflict in Yemen: From Ethnic Fighting to Food Riots

Cited by 5 publications

References 15 publications

Governance of patient‐centred care: A systemic approach to cancer treatment

Governance of patient‐centred care: A systemic approach to cancer treatment

Food Price Bubbles: Food Price Indices of Turkey, the FAO, the OECD, and the IMF

South African Riots: Repercussion of the Global Food Crisis and US Drought

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