2018
DOI: 10.1017/asb.2018.12
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Compound Poisson Claims Reserving Models: Extensions and Inference

Abstract: We consider compound Poisson claims reserving models applied to the paid claims and to the number of payments run-off triangles. We extend the standard Poisson-gamma assumption to account for over-dispersion in the payment counts and to account for various mean and variance structures in the individual payments. Two generalized linear models are applied consecutively to predict the unpaid claims. A bootstrap is used to estimate the mean squared error of prediction and to simulate the predictive distribution of… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…For example, Podur et al (2010) use PSS to model the annual area burned by forest fires in the Canadian province of Ontario; and the work by Low et al (2016) compares the performance of several PSSs used to model citation data. For an application to insurance data, see Meng & Gao (2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, Podur et al (2010) use PSS to model the annual area burned by forest fires in the Canadian province of Ontario; and the work by Low et al (2016) compares the performance of several PSSs used to model citation data. For an application to insurance data, see Meng & Gao (2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, Podur et al [2010] uses PSS to model the annual area burned by forest fires in the Canadian province of Ontario; and the work by Low et al [2016] compares the performance of several PSS used to model citation data. For its application to insurance data, see Meng and Gao [2018]. The PSS distributions appear naturally in many data generation processes.…”
Section: Poisson-stopped-sum Distributionsmentioning
confidence: 99%