A mathematical model was developed to simulate the emulsion
copolymerization of acrylonitrile/butadiene, otherwise known as nitrile rubber. Our goal was to
develop a practical tool to predict
polymer production rate and product quality on an industrial scale.
Model predictions include
the polymerization rate, the polymer composition, the number- and
weight-average molecular
weights, branching averages, and the number and average size of the
polymer latex particles.
The prediction of conversion was compared to a limited amount of
industrial pilot-plant data
and was found to be adequate. The model is currently being applied
in two ways. The first
application involves the testing of nonlinear model-based control
schemes for an industrial nitrile
rubber reactor. The second application involves using the model as
a storehouse of prior
knowledge for the implementation of a Bayesian sequential design of
emulsion terpolymerization
experiments as part of a larger, systematic study of multicomponent
polymerization kinetics.