“…For purposes of forecasting final slip, we used the AFTER program Budding et al, 1989) to invert postseismic slip observations (i.e., differential displacement between two sides of the fault), obtaining best-fitting coefficients for an empirical afterslip relation (1) that fits afterslip observations for continental strike-slip earthquakes well: E Q -T A R G E T ; t e m p : i n t r a l i n k -; d f 1 ; 3 1 3 ; 4 9 7 ut u f = 1 T t c 1 (Aagaard et al, 2012). Displacement, u accumulates with time t, in days following the earthquake, toward a final value u f (in cm), which includes coseismic and postseismic afterslip; in which T may be described as the duration, or the time for which this relation behaves as a power law with exponent c. After time T, the afterslip continues but at a lower rate while approaching u f asymptotically.…”