Here we extend this tragedy of the commons to consider the dynamics of the involved ecosystem as well. We consider a general model that allows for a variable carrying capacity of the pastures (due to variation in precipitation) and a stimulating effect on plant growth due to grazing. Our analysis further emphasizes the tragedy; in addition to overgrazing, the ecosystem may approach limit cycles. Thus, unless the pastoralists are able to coordinate themselves, the human capability of longterm planning will generally not stabilize the system. Although numerical optimization shows that a cooperative optimum would yield a high and stable harvest, the open-access system may produce limit cycles, in which even the peak harvest may be below the stable cooperative optimal harvest. Such fluctuations cause both losses in biomass production and utility losses. Our dynamic analysis also demonstrates that, in the absence of cooperation between herders, too much rain in an otherwise dry area might (temporally) destabilize the ecological grazing system through overstocking, subsequently leading to further overgrazing (which will be observed in, but not caused by, the typically dry conditions of landscapes where pastoralism is practiced). In short, through this study we have brought time (and temporal dynamics) into the Hardin's tragedy of the commons and show that the tragedy might be profoundly worsened.ecological dynamics ͉ pastoralism ͉ resource management ͉ tragedy of the commons H ardin's argument (1) may be, and indeed has been, criticized for confusing open access and common property, and disregarding informal institutions governing common properties (see, for example, refs. 2-5). Hardin's analysis also ignored the dynamics of the underlying ecosystem and the roles played by the stochastic precipitation that drive biomass production in the dry lands (6). Still, Hardin's argument is an important reminder of the potential dangers when appropriate management institutions fail. Hardin's argument is similar to what Sinclair and Fryxell (7) also referred to as the ''settlement and overgrazing hypothesis'' in reference to the Sahelian rangelands.Although Hardin's original analysis and most of the subsequent literature relied on a static description of the underlying ecosystem, we will add ecological dynamics to the analysis. For this, we use a standard dynamic model for tropic interaction (8), but we add a climate-variation component. Incorporation of the intrinsically caused dynamics (due to ecological self-regulation) and extrinsically caused dynamics (e.g., due to climatic variation) of the ecosystem reveals another dimension to the ''tragedy'' (see, for example, ref. 4): the loss of productivity of the ecosystem due to fluctuations. The temporal dimension introduces a need for intertemporal coordination among the herders. Although human perception of the dynamics of such a system is, at best, imperfect (9, 10), we consider the case in which humans, through their ability to plan long term, are most likely to be able to avoi...