Background
The burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and hypertension is rapidly increasing in low- and middle-income countries. This is evident not only in adults, but also in children. Recent estimates of prevalence in children are lacking, particularly in Africa. As such, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to provide updated estimates of paediatric hypertension in Africa.
Methods
We searched PubMed and EBSCO to identify articles published from January 2017 to November 2020. Studies were assessed for quality. We combined results for meta-analyses using a random effects model (Freeman-Tukey arcsine transformation). Heterogeneity was quantified using the I
2
statistic.
Findings
In the narrative synthesis of 53 studies, publication bias was low for 28, moderate for 24, and high for one study. Hypertension prevalence ranged substantially (0·2%-38·9%). Meta-analysis included 41 studies resulting in data on 52918 participants aged 3 to 19 years from ten countries. The pooled prevalence for hypertension (systolic/diastolic BP≥95th percentile) was 7·45% (95%CI 5·30-9·92, I
2
=98.96%), elevated blood pressure (BP, systolic/diastolic BP≥90th percentile and <95th percentile) 11·38% (95%CI 7·94-15·33, I
2
=98.97%) and combined hypertension/elevated BP 21·74% (95%CI 15·5-28·69, I
2
=99.48%). Participants categorized as overweight/with obesity had a higher prevalence of hypertension (18·5% [95%CI 10·2-28·5]) than those categorized as underweight/normal (1·0% [95%CI 0·1-2·6], 4·8% [95%CI 2·9-7·1], p<0·001). There were significant differences in hypertension prevalence when comparing BP measurement methods and classification guidelines.
Interpretation
Compared to a previous systematic review conducted in 2017, this study suggests a continued increase in prevalence of paediatric hypertension in Africa, and highlights the potential role of increasing overweight/obesity.
Funding
This research was funded in part by the Wellcome Trust [Grant number:214082/Z/18/Z]. LJW and SAN are supported by the DSI-NRF Centre of Human Development at the University of the Witwatersrand.
