Comparing the accuracy of geographic profiling

Haginoya, Shumpei; Kuraishi, Hiroki; Hanayama, Aiko; Kobayashi, Masakazu; Hosokawa, Toyoharu; Sugimoto, Takashi

doi:10.4992/jjpsy.88.16011

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…This pattern accords with crime pattern theory, and the general least‐effort principle that assumes that the proximate destination will be preferred if the desirability of each destination is equal. Empirical studies (Haginoya, ; Haginoya et al, ; Kan, Haginoya, Hosokawa, Gamo, & Ishiuchi, ) have shown that the distance decay pattern of residential burglary clearly appears in Japan.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The usefulness of past crime data as an attractiveness index for residential burglars

Hanayama

Haginoya

Kuraishi

et al. 2018

Journal Invest Psychology

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This study examines the effects of neighbourhood attractiveness on the residential burglar's crime location choice process using a discrete choice model. We show that past crime data are an important index of a neighbourhood's attractiveness and can be combined with other attractiveness indices adapted from previous studies. We used data from 369 solved cases committed by 70 offenders and related these data to 1,134 areas (500 m grid cells) in Sendai City, Japan. The results showed that residential burglars were attracted to the following potential locations for crimes: (a) areas in proximity to his or her own residence;(b) areas having many or at least a higher proportion of residential burglaries in the past; (c) areas having many residential units; and (d) areas having a higher proportion of single-family dwellings. The results confirm the validity of past crime data as an index of a neighbourhood's attractiveness for residential burglary.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%