Comparative Study of Global Seismicity on the Hot Engine Belt and the Cooling Seismic Belt—Improvement on Research Ideas of Earthquake Prediction

Chen, Lijun; Chen, Xiaofeng; Wan, Fangfang; Li, Pinzhong; Shao, Lei

doi:10.4236/ijg.2015.67060

Cited by 8 publications

(5 citation statements)

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“…The subcrustal earthquake activity in the Aegean Sea area from January 1, 2009 to October 1, 2015 is shown in Figure 12. The figure indicates that seismic activity of the Volcano arc block, which was dense seismic at both ends of the Volcano arc, and the red earthquakes under 500 km depth below constituting a super active layer [5] opening to the northwest, was significantly higher than that of the Greek arc block. The earthquake focal depth sequence of the Aegean Sea from January 1, 2008 to October 1, 2015 is shown in Figure 13.…”

Section: Seismogenic Process Before the Earthquake Mw69 On May 24 2mentioning

confidence: 97%

Study on the Seismogenic Mechanism of the Earthquake Mw6.9 in 2014 in the Aegean Sea Seismic Cone

Chen¹

2016

IJG

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In accordance with the Seismo-Geothermics theory about methods of intracrustal strong earthquake and volcano prediction, we use the ANSS earthquake catalogue from the Northern California earthquake data center and the EMSC earthquake catalogue from the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre to study the seismic activities of the Turkish Branch Seismic Cone in the Mediterranean Seismic Cone and the following Aegean Sea Seismic Cone, and show reproduction through graphics and animation, the seismogenic process and seismogenic mechanism of the earthquake Mw6.9 on May 24, 2014 in northern Aegean Sea. It was concluded that the energy of strong earthquake of magnitude around 7 in Aegean Sea was probably from energy transfer and accumulation in deep mantle and incentive lithosphere in the way of wave pattern, and then the strong earthquake occurs suddenly in search of the weak parts of the surface structure. The purpose of this paper is to open a hole in the traditional seismic genesis, and it is beneficial to the further research on the theory and method of earthquake prediction. It is our first attempt to study this case and it needs further examination. In this paper, we divide the Turkish Branch Seismic Cone of the Mediterranean Seismic Cone into 4 tertiary seismic cones, and we show a preliminary seismo-tectonic model of Aegean region. It will be conducive to seismic monitoring and earthquake prediction research in Greece, Turkey, Romania and Poland regions. At present, the world's earthquake prediction has little effect, and it even tends to be not cognitive. Innovative thinking is the only way out.

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Section: Seismogenic Process Before the Earthquake Mw69 On May 24 2mentioning

confidence: 97%

Study on the Seismogenic Mechanism of the Earthquake Mw6.9 in 2014 in the Aegean Sea Seismic Cone

Chen¹

2016

IJG

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“…The method in this paper takes the study of intracrustal structure system as the evidence of testifying the subcrustal seismic activity areas. As for intracrustal strong earthquake, structure system is the key to the occurring of strong earthquake in the intensive areas of subcrustal seismic activity [5] [19].…”

Section: Study On the Intracrustal Structure Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It has been believed that seismic energy mainly depends on the strain energy accumulation of crustal tectonic movement; however, in the world, more than 95% of intracrustal strong earthquakes and more than 85% of active volcanoes happen within the twenty four seismic cones [5], suggesting that there is a close relationship between intracrustal strong earthquake and seismic activity in the deep. One could conclude that the energy of intracrustal strong earthquake may mainly come from deep energy supply, and the strain energy accumulation of crustal tectonic movement may function as a complement and reinforcement.…”

Section: Energy Source Of Intracrustal Strong Earthquakesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Although seismic scientists around the world have developed various prediction theories and methods, there is a long way to go as there still exist tough problems to figure out. According to the principle of the Seismo-Geothermics Theory and the concept of seismic cone [1] [2], which was called as seismic cylinder or seismic mantle plume before this paper [3]- [5], the author has put forward a set of Seismo-Geothermics earthquake prediction theories and methods scattered in the web of science net "Chen Lijun's blog". Using this method, the author presented a prediction card of global crust strong earthquakes (coastal above magnitude 7 and inland magnitude above 6.5 or 6) and volcanoes within the future three years on April 19, 2012 to the relevant government departments.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Method Research of Earthquake Prediction and Volcano Prediction in Italy

Chen¹,

Chen²,

Shao³

2015

IJG

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This paper adopts the earthquake catalogue of the European Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC), in accordance with the principles of Seismo-Geothermics Theory and the concept of seismic cone; it discusses the integrity of the earthquake catalogue and the overview of Mediterranean seismic cones; it focuses on the structural details and structural feature of the Italian branch of the Mediterranean seismic cone; it deduces the precursory process of subcrustal earthquake activities before two earthquakes magnitude over 6 and the eruptions of Etna volcano since 2005; then it summarizes the prediction working method of Seismo-Geothermics on estimating the general shell strength, the general period, and the rough location of future earthquake or volcano activities; and finally it discusses and explains some possible problems. The principle and working process of this method were testified in card No. 0419 in 2012, the author's prediction card, which can apply to predict for intracrustal strong earthquakes and volcano activities within the global twenty four seismic cones. The purpose of this paper is to develop the tools and methods of the prediction of future earthquake and volcano.

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“…In the previous 34 hours, a 6.4 magnitude quake had struck 11km to the northwest. The author thought that, if only within the scope of around 50 km and the strike-slip properties of fault to discuss the cause of the earthquake (USGS, 2019) has great limitations, should be based on the principle of Seismo-Geothermic Theory (Chen, 2000(Chen, , 2012a(Chen, , 2013aChen et al, 2013) and it's working methods (Chen, 2013b(Chen, , 2015a(Chen, , 2015b(Chen, , 2015c(Chen, , 2016a(Chen, , 2016b(Chen, , 2016c(Chen, , 2016dChen et al, 2015aChen et al, , 2015b, must study the seismic cone tectonic of the west coast of the United States and the relationship with the San Andreas Fault, and open up a new direction for the future of earthquake prediction research (Chen, 2019a).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seismic Activity and Seismic Cone Tectonics on the West Coast of the United States

Chen¹

2019

GEP

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In the west coast of the United States, there are frequent strong earthquakes and volcanic activities in the crust, high accuracy of the earthquake catalogue, so it is the best choice to study prediction of strong earthquakes and volcanoes, and there are two different types of seismic cone tectonics, volcanic type and intracrustal strong seismicity type, so it becomes the epitome of global earthquake prediction research, rarer. In this paper, according to the data of ANSS earthquake catalogue in the United States, using the Seismo-Geothermic Theory and its methods, the images were processed such as the planar distribution images and the three-dimensional images of the general earthquakes, subcrustal earthquakes, intracrustal strong earthquakes and volcanic eruption and the sequence diagrams of subcrustal earthquakes in the study area, as well as theory explanation of their relations with the San Andreas Fault. According to this idea, the volcanic origin and precursory information of U01 mini seismic cone tectonic were firstly studied, then the causes of intracrustal strong seismicity of U02 mini seismic cone tectonic and their migration rules were studied. The precursory information of M7.1 earthquake on July 6, 2019, was analyzed and summarized in U02 mini seismic cone tectonic, and a basic method for handling similar events in the future was given. In this paper, it thinks strong earthquake and volcanic disaster are from deep mantle heat energy, rather than the result of the independence movement of surface structure. Therefore, it finds the most natural energy of causes of seismicity and volcanic activity and opens a new direction for the prediction research of earthquakes and volcanoes.

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Comparative Study of Global Seismicity on the Hot Engine Belt and the Cooling Seismic Belt—Improvement on Research Ideas of Earthquake Prediction

Cited by 8 publications

References 1 publication

Study on the Seismogenic Mechanism of the Earthquake Mw6.9 in 2014 in the Aegean Sea Seismic Cone

Study on the Seismogenic Mechanism of the Earthquake Mw6.9 in 2014 in the Aegean Sea Seismic Cone

Method Research of Earthquake Prediction and Volcano Prediction in Italy

Seismic Activity and Seismic Cone Tectonics on the West Coast of the United States

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