Comparative Studies

Coccia, Mario; Benati, Igor

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-31816-5_1197-1

Cited by 27 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…New time series adjusted with averaging process is given by

that tends to eliminate period to period weakly fluctuations and produces a much smoother series than original observations. Moreover, variables are also compared within 1st and 2nd wave to show the overall evolutionary dynamics and impact of COVID-19 pandemic in society over time (cf., Coccia and Benati, 2018 ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of first and second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in society: comparative analysis to support control measures to cope with negative effects of future infectious diseases

Coccia

2021

Environmental Research

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165

121

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The goal of this study is a comparative analysis of the first and second wave of the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) to assess the impact on health of people for designing effective policy responses to constrain negative effects of future pandemic waves of COVID-19 and similar infectious diseases in society. The research here focuses on a case study of Italy, one of the first countries to experience a rapid increase in numbers of COVID-19 related infected individuals and deaths. Statistical analyses, based on daily data from February 2020 to February 2021, suggest that the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic in Italy had a high negative impact on health of people over February–May 2020 period; after that, negative effects declined from June 2020 onwards. Second wave of COVID-19 pandemic from August 2020 to February 2021 had a growing incidence of confirmed cases also associated with variants of coronavirus, whereas admissions to Intensive Care Units and total deaths had lower levels compared to first wave of COVID-19. Lessons learned of this comparative analysis between first and second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy can be generalized in similar geo-economic areas to support effective policy responses of crisis management to constrain the negative impact on health of people of recurring waves of COVID-19 pandemic and similar infectious diseases in future.

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“…New time series adjusted with averaging process is given by

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of first and second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in society: comparative analysis to support control measures to cope with negative effects of future infectious diseases

Coccia

2021

Environmental Research

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165

121

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“…Firstly , data are analysed comparing arithmetic mean and std. deviation between groups of cities as follows (cf., Coccia and Benati 2018 ): Level of air pollution Cities with high levels of air pollution (> 100 days per year exceeding the limits set for PM 10 or for ozone) Cities with low levels of air pollution (≤ 100 days per year exceeding the limits set for PM 10 or for ozone) Density of population Cities with high density of population, > 1000 inhabitant/km 2 Cities with low density of population, ≤ 1000 inhabitant/km 2 …”

Section: Data and Study Designmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of the spread of COVID-19 on public health of polluted cities: results of the first wave for explaining the dejà vu in the second wave of COVID-19 pandemic and epidemics of future vital agents

Coccia

2021

Environ Sci Pollut Res

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137

138

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“…Secondly , each measure is represented in graphs comparing trends of the 1 st wave and 2 nd wave of COVID-19 pandemic, inserting the specific measure on y -axis (e.g., fatality rates) and temporal unit on x -axis given by progressive numbers, in which the number 1 indicates the starting of the pandemic wave (i.e., 24 th February for 1 st wave and 1 st August for 2 nd wave), the number two is the second day of COVID-19 pandemic wave, and so on. Moreover, the three indicators are also compared within the 1 st and 2 nd wave to have a comparative analysis of the overall evolutionary dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic (cf., Coccia and Benati, 2018).…”

Section: Methodsologymentioning

confidence: 99%

How Is the Impact on Public Health of Second Wave of Covid-19 Pandemic Compared to the First Wave? Case Study of Italy

Coccia

2020

Preprint

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The main goal of this study is to compare the effects on public health of the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to first wave in society. The paper here focuses on a case study of Italy, one of the first European countries to experience a rapid increase in confirmed cases and deaths. Methodology considers daily data from February to November 2020 of the ratio of confirmed cases/total swabs, fatality rate (deaths / confirmed cases) and ratio of individuals in Intensive Care Units (ICUs) / Confirmed cases. Results reveal that the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic in Italy had a strong but declining impact on public health with the approaching of summer season and with the effects of containment measures, whereas second wave of the COVID-19 has a growing trend of confirmed cases with admission to ICUs and total deaths having a, to date, lower impact on public health compared to first wave. Although effects of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on public health, policymakers have had an unrealistic optimist behavior that a new wave of COVID-19 could not hit their countries and, especially, a low organizational capacity to plan effective policy responses to cope with recurring COVID-19 pandemic crisis. This study can support vital information to design effective policy responses of crisis management to constrain current and future waves of the COVID-19 pandemic and similar epidemics in society.

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Comparative Studies

Cited by 27 publications

References 6 publications

The impact of first and second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in society: comparative analysis to support control measures to cope with negative effects of future infectious diseases

The impact of first and second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in society: comparative analysis to support control measures to cope with negative effects of future infectious diseases

Effects of the spread of COVID-19 on public health of polluted cities: results of the first wave for explaining the dejà vu in the second wave of COVID-19 pandemic and epidemics of future vital agents

How Is the Impact on Public Health of Second Wave of Covid-19 Pandemic Compared to the First Wave? Case Study of Italy

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