Comparative Efficacy and Safety of Different Antiviral Agents for Cytomegalovirus Prophylaxis in Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Abstract:Over the past 25 years, several randomized controlled trials have investigated the efficacy of different antiviral agents for cytomegalovirus (CMV) prophylaxis in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation. We performed a systematic literature review, conventional meta-analysis, and network meta-analysis using a random-effects model and risk ratios (RRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) as effect estimates. Fifteen randomized controlled trials were identified, including 7 different antivira… Show more
“…19–21 A recent evidence synthesis of the efficacy and safety of different prophylactic strategies for CMV highlighted inconclusive results in terms of survival while CMV disease and infection could be significantly reduced using antiviral agents. 20 Furthermore, it is unclear whether different prophylactic agents for graft- versus -host disease increase the risk for CMV infection or disease after transplantation. Aggregated evidence did not show an increased risk for CMV reactivation in randomized trials on antithymocyte globulin, which was given to 46% of our EBMT cohort, in comparison with standard prophylaxis using cyclosporine and methotrexate or tacrolimus.…”
The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical and transplant-specific prognostic score using data from a large cohort of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes reported to the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation registry. A Cox model was fitted to detect clinical and transplant-related variables prognostic of outcome. Then, cross-validation was performed to evaluate the validity and consistency of the model. Seven independent risk factors for survival were identified: age ≥50 years, matched unrelated donor, Karnofsky Performance Status <90%, very poor cytogenetics or monosomal karyotype, positive cytomegalovirus status of the recipient, blood blasts >1%, and platelet count ≤50 × 10
9
/L prior to transplantation. Incorporating these factors into a four-level risk score yielded hazard ratios for death, with low-risk (score of 0-1) as reference, of 2.02 (95% CI: 1.41-2.90) for the intermediate-risk group (score of 2-3), 3.49 (95% CI: 2.45-4.97) for the high-risk group (score of 4-5), and 5.90 (95% CI: 4.01-8.67) for the very high-risk group (score of >5). The score was predictive of survival, relapse-free survival, relapse, and non-relapse mortality (
P
<0.001, respectively). Cross-validation yielded significant and reproducible improvement in prognostic ability with C-statistics being 0.609 (95% CI: 0.588-0.629)
versus
0.555 for the
Gruppo Italiano Trapianto di Midollo Osseo
registry and 0.579 for the Center for Blood and Marrow Transplant Research registry. Prediction was even further augmented after applying a nomogram using age and platelets as continuous variables showing C-statistics of 0.628 (95% CI: 0.616-0.637). In conclusion, compared to existing prognostic systems, this proposed transplant-specific risk score offers improved performance with respect to post-transplant risk stratification in myelodysplastic syndromes.
“…19–21 A recent evidence synthesis of the efficacy and safety of different prophylactic strategies for CMV highlighted inconclusive results in terms of survival while CMV disease and infection could be significantly reduced using antiviral agents. 20 Furthermore, it is unclear whether different prophylactic agents for graft- versus -host disease increase the risk for CMV infection or disease after transplantation. Aggregated evidence did not show an increased risk for CMV reactivation in randomized trials on antithymocyte globulin, which was given to 46% of our EBMT cohort, in comparison with standard prophylaxis using cyclosporine and methotrexate or tacrolimus.…”
The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical and transplant-specific prognostic score using data from a large cohort of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes reported to the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation registry. A Cox model was fitted to detect clinical and transplant-related variables prognostic of outcome. Then, cross-validation was performed to evaluate the validity and consistency of the model. Seven independent risk factors for survival were identified: age ≥50 years, matched unrelated donor, Karnofsky Performance Status <90%, very poor cytogenetics or monosomal karyotype, positive cytomegalovirus status of the recipient, blood blasts >1%, and platelet count ≤50 × 10
9
/L prior to transplantation. Incorporating these factors into a four-level risk score yielded hazard ratios for death, with low-risk (score of 0-1) as reference, of 2.02 (95% CI: 1.41-2.90) for the intermediate-risk group (score of 2-3), 3.49 (95% CI: 2.45-4.97) for the high-risk group (score of 4-5), and 5.90 (95% CI: 4.01-8.67) for the very high-risk group (score of >5). The score was predictive of survival, relapse-free survival, relapse, and non-relapse mortality (
P
<0.001, respectively). Cross-validation yielded significant and reproducible improvement in prognostic ability with C-statistics being 0.609 (95% CI: 0.588-0.629)
versus
0.555 for the
Gruppo Italiano Trapianto di Midollo Osseo
registry and 0.579 for the Center for Blood and Marrow Transplant Research registry. Prediction was even further augmented after applying a nomogram using age and platelets as continuous variables showing C-statistics of 0.628 (95% CI: 0.616-0.637). In conclusion, compared to existing prognostic systems, this proposed transplant-specific risk score offers improved performance with respect to post-transplant risk stratification in myelodysplastic syndromes.
“…While these agents are effective in the prevention of CMV reactivation, their use is associated with significant toxicity and has not been shown to be superior to the pre-emptive strategy. [19][20][21] . These approaches have reduced the burden of CMV disease and its associated morbidity and mortality 19,22 .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…[19][20][21] . These approaches have reduced the burden of CMV disease and its associated morbidity and mortality 19,22 . However, the burden of CMV infection remains prominent, and pre-emptive therapy entails hospitalization, significant adverse effects, and considerable expenses 23,24 .…”
Background: The cost-effectiveness of letermovir as cytomegalovirus (CMV) prophylaxis in adult seropositive patients undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT), compared with the conventional strategy of preemptive treatment, has not been evaluated in Asia. Methods: A decision analytical model, simulating the clinical progression of CMV infection on a lifetime horizon, was developed to compare prophylactic strategy with letermovir with preemptive therapy alone as anti-CMV strategies. Prophylaxis comprised administering letermovir for 14 weeks, with clinical outcomes measured at 24 weeks, followed by preemptive therapy if CMV infection occurred. This approach was modeled on outcomes of the letermovir phase 3 clinical study. The model enumerated the cost of letermovir prophylaxis, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost per QALYs gained with prophylaxis. The opposite arm involved regular monitoring and preemptive therapy for CMV reactivation. Real-world costs from the adult HSCT center at Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong, were adopted for analysis. Costs and clinical benefits, expressed as QALYs, were discounted at 3% per year. Results: Letermovir prophylaxis compared with preemptive therapy only would lead to an increase of life-year and QALYs at increased costs. Incremental cost-effectiveness analysis showed that letermovir prophylaxis had an associated cost of HKD 193,580 for each life-year gained, and HKD 234,675 for each QALY gained. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that the majority of incremental cost-effectiveness ratio fell below the cost-effectiveness threshold of HKD 382,046 (one gross domestic product per capita) per QALY gained. Conclusions: Letermovir prophylaxis would be cost-effective for preventing CMV infection in adult seropositive allogeneic HSCT recipients in Hong Kong.
“…In addition, some reasons were not clarified, for example physician and patient discretion were combined in two of the included studies. A systematic review published in 2018 explored the efficacy and safety of CMV prophylaxis; adverse events and breakthrough infections were addressed, however the authors did not explicitly report additional information why patients stopped within these studies 54. Similarly, in a PCP prophylaxis systematic review, the authors described adverse events as reason for discontinuation while not mentioning adherence, resistance or patients’ choice 14…”
Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank Mariska M.G. Leeflang for her suggestions and help while analyzing and compiling the data of this systematic review.Contributors AGM did the screening, writing, data analysis, risk of bias analysis, searches and planning; MB did the screening, searches, data analysis, writing; HB, EAMV, SPB, LFRS and TSvdW did the planning, writing, reviewing of manuscript; JWA did the writing, analysis and planning.
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