1971
DOI: 10.1287/opre.19.4.845
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Common-Stock Transaction Sequences and the Random-Walk Model

Abstract: This paper reviews the current status of the random-walk model as it applies to price-change sequences in common stocks, and examines certain striking dependencies in these sequences at the transaction level. In particular, successive transaction-price changes are seen to be negatively correlated, with each price change projecting its negative influence forward toward its successors in the sequence. The strength of this influence is diminished sharply by each nonzero price change that it is required to “penetr… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…There is also direct evidence from previous studies of systematic patterns in successive transactions (Working [25], Neiderhoffer and Osborne [13], Simmons [16], Garbade and Lieber [8]). This has been interpreted as reflecting *…”
Section: Hypothesesmentioning
confidence: 54%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…There is also direct evidence from previous studies of systematic patterns in successive transactions (Working [25], Neiderhoffer and Osborne [13], Simmons [16], Garbade and Lieber [8]). This has been interpreted as reflecting *…”
Section: Hypothesesmentioning
confidence: 54%
“…Some or all of these transactions may represent movements from one side to the other of the spread when the spread is larger than 1/8. (Simmons [16].) The methodology we are "using does not easily permit identification of temporary variations in the spread.…”
Section: Analysis Of Transaction Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…the us(' of random ualk thinking for such spwifiv purposes as the study of the aggrcgatc. tiyo-party votc in the USA (Stokes & Ivcrscn, I Y W ) , or the behavior of the stock market (Simmons, 1971), to m mtion only two cxamplrs. Rather it has put general implications arid questions of r(Lsearch strategy in thc center, and the discussion has thereforr bwn conductt.d on a somctvhat abstract lrvcl.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Nearly a century ago, Bachelier (see Cootner [6]) suggested that the first differences of the prices should be normally distributed with zero mean. Simmons [20] tested the model…”
Section: Model With Uncertain Capital Gainsmentioning
confidence: 99%