Combined clinical variable and radiomics of post-treatment total body scan for prediction of successful I-131 ablation in low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma patients

Abstract

To explore the feasibility of combined radiomics of post-treatment I-131 total body scan (TBS) and clinical parameter to predict successful ablation in low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients. Data of low-risk PTC patients who underwent total/near total thyroidectomy and I-131 ablation 30 mCi between April 2015 and July 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. The clinical factors studied included age, sex, and pre-ablative serum thyroglobulin (Tg). Radiomic features were extracted via PyRadiomics, and radiomic feature selection was performed. The predictive performance for successful ablation of the clinical parameter, radiomic, and combined models (radiomics combined with clinical parameter) was calculated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). One hundred and thirty patients were included. Successful ablation was achieved in 77 patients (59.2%). The mean pre-ablative Tg in the unsuccessful group (15.50 ± 18.04 ng/ml) was statistically significantly higher than those in the successful ablation group (7.12 ± 7.15 ng/ml). The clinical parameter, radiomic, and combined models produced AUCs of 0.66, 0.77, and 0.87 in the training sets, and 0.65, 0.69, and 0.78 in the validation sets, respectively. The combined model produced a significantly higher AUC than that of the clinical parameter (p < 0.05). Radiomic analysis of the post-treatment TBS combined with pre-ablative serum Tg showed a significant improvement in the predictive performance of successful ablation in low-risk PTC patients compared to the use of clinical parameter alone.Thai Clinical Trials Registry TCTR identification number is TCTR20230816004 (https://www.thaiclinicaltrials.org/show/TCTR20230816004).