Islet autoimmunity is initiated in infancy, and primary prevention trials require children at high genetic risk to be identified before autoantibodies appear. To inform screening strategies, we evaluated risks of autoimmunity and diabetes associated with HLA DR3-DQ2/DR4-DQ8 in U.K. families. Extended HLA haplotypes were determined in 2,134 siblings from the Bart's-Oxford Study followed to a median age of 22 years. Risks of diabetes and islet autoimmunity (more than two antibodies) were estimated by survival analysis. Of 138 informative DR3-DQ2/DR4-DQ8 siblings, 63% shared both haplotypes with their diabetic proband, 29% shared one, and 8% shared neither. In HLAidentical DR3-DQ2/DR4-DQ8 siblings, the cumulative risk of diabetes by age 15 was 17% (vs. 6% in those sharing one haplotype or none; P = 0.095). Risk varied, however, with the age at the onset of diabetes in the proband; the cumulative risk of autoimmunity and/or diabetes by age 15 was 61% in siblings of probands diagnosed when younger than 10 years old compared with only 4.7% in those diagnosed after age 10 years (P < 0.001). The age of the proband at diagnosis, but not HLA haplotype sharing, was an independent determinant of sibling risk. This suggests that non-HLA genes or epigenetic/environmental factors that accelerate the progression of type 1 diabetes in the proband strongly affect risk in siblings. Diabetes 2014;63:104163: -104763: | DOI: 10.2337 Type 1 diabetes results from the autoimmune destruction of insulin-producing b-cells, a process that begins early in life. Islet autoantibodies are detectable by the age of 5 years-often by the age of 2 years-in children who go on to develop diabetes, and autoantibodies to insulin (generally the first to appear) have been detected as early as 6-12 months (1,2). Established islet autoimmunity is difficult to modulate, and therefore strategies aimed at primary prevention before the initiation of autoimmunity are needed. Trials of potential interventions at this stage will have to recruit children on the basis of genetic risk alone.Recent whole-genome studies have resulted in an explosion of information regarding genetic susceptibility to type 1 diabetes, but the HLA region remains the most important genetic determinant. More than 90% of children with type 1 diabetes carry the HLA class II haplotypes DRB1*03-DQB1*02:01 (DR3-DQ2) and/or DRB1*04-DQB1*03:02 (DR4-DQ8), and the highest risk DR3-DQ2/DR4-DQ8 diplotype is present in 50% of cases of very early-onset diabetes (3). We and others have previously shown that the age of diagnosis of children with type 1 diabetes and the number of HLA haplotypes they share are determinants of risk of diabetes in their siblings (3,4). HLA class II determined risk can also be modulated by other factors close to or within the HLA region as well as by non-HLA genes (5).Current trials to prevent the initiation of islet autoimmunity use HLA-based risk assessment to identify individuals eligible for inclusion, but they use different Other primary prevention trials are seeking to ...