General rightsThis document is made available in accordance with publisher policies. Please cite only the published version using the reference above. Full terms of use are available: http://www.bristol.ac.uk/pure/about/ebr-terms This paper presents a study on the impact of earthquake types (shallow crustal, deep inslab, and mega-thrust Cascadia interface earthquakes) and aftershocks on loss assessment of non-code conforming reinforced concrete (RC) buildings. The loss assessment is formulated within the performance-based earthquake engineering framework. The dependency between the maximum and residual interstory drift ratios are captured using copulas. Finite-element models that take into account key hysteretic characteristics of non-ductile RC frames were adopted and incremental dynamic analysis is utilized to compute collapse risk. The proposed procedure is applied to a set of 2-, 4-, 8-and 12-story non-ductile reinforced concrete frames located in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada. From the results, the aftershock showed marked difference for the 2-story building. At annual probability of 10 -2 -10 -3 , crustal and in-slab events with Mw6.5 to Mw7.5
Impact of Earthquake Types andcontributed the most to the loss as these events occur more frequently. At rarer annual probability of 10 -3 -10 -4 , the Cascadia event having Mw8.5 to Mw9.0 is predominant and contributed the most to the loss.
INTRODUCTIONSouthwestern British Columbia (BC) is an active seismic region, affected by complex regional seismicity (Hyndman and Rogers 2010). Three earthquake types, namely shallow crustal, deep inslab, and mega-thrust Cascadia interface earthquakes, contribute significantly to overall seismic hazard (Atkinson and Goda 2011; Figure 1). The crustal earthquakes occur in the upper crust of the continental plate and expected earthquake magnitudes of this kind are the moment magnitude Mw6.5 to Mw7.5. On the other hand, interface and inslab earthquakes occur at the plate boundary and inside the subducting slabs (i.e. ocean areas). Therefore, the A previous regional seismic risk assessment in Victoria, BC showed that older construction buildings are in high risk (Onur et al. 2005). Regional economic loss associated with a hypothetical Mw9 Cascadia earthquake scenario for BC can be significant (AIR Worldwide 2013). An accurate assessment of potential impact of future destructive earthquakes is essential for effective disaster risk reduction and requires decision-support tools that facilitate the quantitative seismic loss estimation Ebrahimian et al. 2014). The problem can be further compounded by increasing intensity and frequency of observed aftershocks (e.g. 2011 Mw9.0 Tohoku earthquake in Japan, Goda et al. 2013; Mw7.8 Gorkha Nepal earthquake, . As the three earthquake types in BC are prevalent, prudent record selection is also crucial to produce unbiased estimates of seismic vulnerability.
Tesfamariam-3Koduru and Haukaas (2010) and Mahsuli and Haukaas (2013) have carried out loss assessment for Vancouver, BC with consideration...