Coalition Prospects and Policy Change: An Application to the Environment

Kayser, Mark Andreas; Rehmert, Jochen

doi:10.1111/lsq.12273

Cited by 13 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 46 publications

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“…Consequently, the Green Party rose as an important plausible coalition partner of the Christian Democratic Union in the next election cycle, and the right-wing party began to consider tactics that could make the party more compatible as a future coalition partner for the Green Party. As a result, also as a response to the Fukushima nuclear disaster, Angela Merkel announced her plan to shut down eight nuclear reactors and completely phase out all the other reactors by 2022 (Kayser and Rehmert 2021).…”

Section: Party-competition Environmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rationality of Irrationality

Han¹

2022

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Citizens in democracies complain that political parties’ positions on major issues are too ambiguous for them to confidently understand. Why is party position ambiguity so common? Are party positions ambiguous because political parties fail in forming clear policies or because they deliberately blur their positions? Rationality of Irrationality argues that political parties are motivated to strategically blur their position on an issue when they struggle with a certain disadvantage in the issue. Specifically, political parties present an ambiguous position when their own supporters are divided in their stances on the issue. A political party also blurs position stances when voters do not acknowledge that the party has the ability and integrity to solve problems related to the issue. Political parties blur their position in these cases because ambiguous party positions divert voters’ attention from the issue. Voters support a political party whose policy positions on major issues are close to their own stances. However, voters cannot confidently and exactly estimate party positions on an issue when they are only ambiguous.

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Section: Party-competition Environmentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rationality of Irrationality

Han¹

2022

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“…Yet, changes in public support for the individual coalition parties affect their bargaining power within the coalition (Lupia and Strøm 1995). This may increase the pressure to deviate from the coalition deal and may destabilize the current government (Kayser and Rehmert 2021; Lupia and Strøm 1995). Vice versa, a bad coalition mood might affect the relative strengths of the government parties in the polls, as the voters' responsibility attribution in coalition governments often differs across coalition partners (see, for example, Klüver and Spoon 2020).…”

Section: Concurrent Validitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Coalition Mood in European Parliamentary Democracies

Imre

Ecker

Meyer

et al. 2022

Brit. J. Polit. Sci.

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The success and longevity of coalition governments depends on the ability to keep conflicts between coalition members at bay. The risk of such conflicts is often assessed by drawing on proxy measures, such as the ideological heterogeneity among government parties. This article presents a new approach to measuring the atmosphere between government parties. The ‘coalition mood’ is a time-varying measure that draws on applause patterns between coalition partners during legislative debates. The article exemplifies the measurement approach based on automated analyses of over 105,000 plenary debates in Germany and Austria. The article then assesses the measure's face, concurrent and predictive validity. It finds the measure well aligned with qualitative evidence, shows that the coalition mood is correlated with poll ratings of the government parties and helps to predict the duration of legislative processes. The conclusion highlights future applications of the coalition mood for research on coalition politics and public policy.

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“…The role of green parties as coalition partners is crucial, as it can vary from veto‐players to supporters (Evrard, 2012; Zohlnhöfer, 2003). Kayser and Rehmert (2020) showed that if green issues gain weight in public debate, this does not necessarily lead to a change. But if a green party is considered as a suitable coalition partner or becomes a coalition partner of another party, this increases the chance for policy change (Kayser & Rehmert, 2020).…”

Section: Analytical Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

Political parties' influence on environmental policy in the forest: Natura 2000 forest sites in Germany as a case study

2021

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While the partisan theory has already rendered initial insight on whether political parties can make a difference in environmental policy, only little is known about their influence on forest policy. This article attempts to reveal the role of green, left‐wing and right‐wing parties in the case of German Natura 2000 policy. By testing whether nature conservation or forest interests are strongly supported by the government policy outputs, we test the influence of the different parties that were part of 62 governments from 2004 to 2018 in 16 German Bundesländer. The results show that the German left‐wing parties take up the ideas of the nature conservation sector, while right‐wing parties foster typical forest interests. Furthermore, right‐wing parties very often maintain the policy status quo instead of making policy changes so that the implementation of the biodiversity goal of Natura 2000 often is postponed. The German Green party does not foster nature conservation interests more strongly than the SPD. Coalitions between right‐wing parties increase the chance for policy outputs that tend to favour forest interests.

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Coalition Prospects and Policy Change: An Application to the Environment

Cited by 13 publications

References 46 publications

Rationality of Irrationality

Rationality of Irrationality

Coalition Mood in European Parliamentary Democracies

Political parties' influence on environmental policy in the forest: Natura 2000 forest sites in Germany as a case study

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