In the now classic model of scientific change, Kuhn (1962) argued that the accumulation of discrepant empirical results creates the potential for a shift in the underlying epistemological structure (i.e., triggers a scientific revolution at the metatheoretical level; see also Cole, 1992). Building on this idea, Mullins and Mullins (1973) proposed that groups of theories (aka schools of thought) within an academic field are regularly replaced by new theory groups through a similar mechanism. The regular ascension of new theory groups is akin to a disciplinary revolution at the theory level.However, the interdisciplinary field known as organization studies has long existed in a state of theory-group multiplicity. The theory groups most influential today-New Insti tutional Sociology (NIS), Organizational Ecology (OE), Resource Dependency Theory (RD), and Transaction Cost Economics (TCE)-are largely the same as in the early 1980s. Although theory proliferation has been a topic of interest in organization studies over this entire period, new theory groups do not seem to have emerged to replace the old. Furthermore, no single theory group has clearly risen to preeminence and the existing theory groups seem locked in with each other. The late 1980s were commonly characterized as a time of "paradigm war" in organization studies. (It should be noted that the label "paradigm war" is somewhat of a misnomer as contestation between theory groups is perhaps the more accurate description because conflicts such as this one are not Kuhnian struggles between metatheories.) This period of direct theory-group contestation developed into a prolonged debate over theory incommensurability in the middle to late 1990s. The major theory groups, although at times somewhat distanced from the mostheated parts of these debates, have nonetheless played a significant role in it.Ten years have now passed since the height of this incommensurability debate. In this time, has intertheory-group interaction become less confrontational? Is there now movement, as Mullins and Mullins' (1973) model of theory-group development suggests, back toward synthesis, the transcendence of existing theory groups, and the development of new ones? What effects, if any, did the prolonged period of theory-group conflict have?
AbstractMuch is already known about how theory groups-schools of thought centered on the influential works of a small number of scholars-emerge. Yet, little is known about how prolonged periods of conflict between theory groups affects the theory-group life cycle. The author presents a review of critiques and exchanges published by scholars in the organizationenvironment subfield, and shows that these can be used to identify "emergence," "conflict," and "postconflict" periods. Poisson and negative binomial regression analyses of 656 publications show that the frequency of intertheory-group citations decreased following the conflict period (1985)(1986)(1987)(1988)(1989)(1990)(1991)(1992)(1993)(1994). Linear regression models show that, when interth...