2022
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-33614-0
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Clinical severity of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 lineages compared to BA.1 and Delta in South Africa

Abstract: Omicron lineages BA.4 and BA.5 drove a fifth wave of COVID-19 cases in South Africa. Here, we use the presence/absence of the S-gene target as a proxy for SARS-CoV-2 variant/lineage for infections diagnosed using the TaqPath PCR assay between 1 October 2021 and 26 April 2022. We link national COVID-19 individual-level data including case, laboratory test and hospitalisation data. We assess severity using multivariable logistic regression comparing the risk of hospitalisation and risk of severe disease, once ho… Show more

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Cited by 74 publications
(66 citation statements)
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“…During the first weeks following BA.4/BA.5 emergence in South Africa, BA.4/BA.5 infections did not differ in severity from BA.1 infections, although statistical power in these analyses was constrained ( n =1,806 BA.4/BA.5 cases analyzed) and data on cases’ clinical comorbidities and healthcare-seeking behavior were not available to fully support causal inference addressing the role of infecting variant. 9 Consistent with this finding, risk of hospital admission during the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 waves in South Africa did not differ within analyses of all diagnosed cases. 23 Whereas a population-based study in Denmark suggested moderately increased risk of hospital admission among BA.5 cases as compared to BA.2 cases, 21 this analysis did not include adjustment for potentially relevant confounders including individuals’ healthcare-seeking behavior and calendar time.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 70%
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“…During the first weeks following BA.4/BA.5 emergence in South Africa, BA.4/BA.5 infections did not differ in severity from BA.1 infections, although statistical power in these analyses was constrained ( n =1,806 BA.4/BA.5 cases analyzed) and data on cases’ clinical comorbidities and healthcare-seeking behavior were not available to fully support causal inference addressing the role of infecting variant. 9 Consistent with this finding, risk of hospital admission during the BA.4/BA.5 and BA.1 waves in South Africa did not differ within analyses of all diagnosed cases. 23 Whereas a population-based study in Denmark suggested moderately increased risk of hospital admission among BA.5 cases as compared to BA.2 cases, 21 this analysis did not include adjustment for potentially relevant confounders including individuals’ healthcare-seeking behavior and calendar time.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 70%
“…As BA.4/BA.5 lineages harbor the Δ69-70 amino acid deletion in the S protein, SGTF has been proposed elsewhere as a proxy for distinguishing BA.4/BA.5 from BA.2 lineages. 9,10 Analyses of a randomly selected subset of SARS-CoV-2 specimens submitted for whole-genome sequencing supported this approach, with the S gene target identified in 97.7% (2,600/2,660) of BA.2 specimens and absent from 99.4% (347/349) of BA.4 specimens and 97.5% (977/1,002) of BA.5 specimens.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 85%
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“…These results indicate that, compared with the initial BA.1, BA.5 has increased viral fitness without increasing disease severity. Our results are in agreement with the clinical observations that (i) BA.1- and BA.5-infected patients develop similar disease severity and (ii) Omicron causes less severe disease than the previous Delta variant (Wolter et al, 2022). The reduced disease severity of Omicron infection may be caused by the lower cell-to-cell fusion activity mediated by the Omicron S protein (Du et al, 2022; Meng et al, 2022).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%