Climatic Uncertainty in the Mediterranean Basin and Its Possible Relevance to Important Economic Sectors

Abstract

The Mediterranean Basin is among the densest populated regions of the world with forecasts for a further population increase in the coming decades. Agriculture and tourism are two main economic activities of this region. Both activities depend highly on climate and weather conditions. Climate and weather in turn, present a large variability both in space and in time which results in different uncertainty types. Any change in weather and or climate conditions in the coming decades due to climate change may increase this uncertainty. Temporal uncertainty is discussed in detail and different ways of how to exhibit it are presented with examples from various locations in the Mediterranean basin. Forecasted increased uncertainty may in turn increase future challenges for long term planning and managing of agriculture and tourism in that part of the world.

RICE-MED, an integrated assessment model for the Mediterranean basin: assessing the climate-economy-agriculture nexus

“…Furthermore, among the main outcomes of their study, we nd that all the regions of this climate type, except for the case of North America, have dried and will continue to do so as the time passes. A recent analysis on the Mediterranean basin is provided also by Kutiel (2019). In this work, the climate of the region, assessed through atmospheric pressure, temperature and precipitation levels, is found to be characterized by a huge degree of spatial and temporal variability.…”

“…In terms of sectors, agriculture and tourism are the two main economic activities in the Mediterranean economies (Kutiel, 2019). The former is important not only concerning GDP but also for employment, the food supply chain and global food security.…”

A Rapid Method to Estimate the Different Components of the Water Balance in Mediterranean Watersheds

“…During these events, the spatial distribution of the rainfall is very heterogeneous. Rain can be very localized, without spatial continuity [48].…”

A synthetic approach to the Holiday Climate Index for the Mediterranean Coast of Türkiye

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