Climatic Factors Impact on Ultimate Frisbee: A Study on the Influence of Humidity and Temperature on Player Performance and Game Outcomes in Shanghai

Abstract

This data science project delves into the realm of Ultimate Frisbee to assess how humidity and temperature affect athlete performance and game outcomes. Data spanning a four-year period, from 2019 to 2023, encompassing more than 130 players from 15 club teams, has been meticulously gathered and analyzed. The focus of this investigation primarily centers around Ultimate Frisbee club seasons in Shanghai, China.The study's objective was to discern the correlation between weather conditions and player performance, considering both subjective experiences and objective data. Key metrics such as Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT), air temperature, and humidity were pivotal in this analysis. The results of this extensive research show that weather conditions indeed exert a substantial influence on the sport. Optimal performance was noted within a WBGT range of 7.5°C to 15°C (or an air temperature range of 10°C to 17.5°C). Beyond this range, every 1-degree increase in WBGT resulted in a decline in player performance by approximately 0.7% to 1.4%.These findings underscore the need for adaptive strategies at both player and team levels to navigate the variability in weather conditions. This study offers valuable insights for players and organizers, particularly in regions like Shanghai. The research suggests a promising path for future exploration, including the expansion of datasets, the incorporation of player physiological data, and the development of predictive models to enhance game safety and competitiveness, elevating the sport to new heights.