Abstract. While a considerable number of records document the temporal variability of
droughts for central Europe, the understanding of its underlying causes remains
limited. In this contribution, time series of three drought indices (Standardized Precipitation Index –
SPI; Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index – SPEI; Palmer Drought Severity Index – PDSI) are analyzed with regard to mid- to long-term drought variability
in the Czech Lands and its potential links to external forcings and internal
climate variability modes over the 1501–2006 period. Employing instrumental
and proxy-based data characterizing the external climate forcings (solar and
volcanic activity, greenhouse gases) in parallel with series representing the
activity of selected climate variability modes (El Niño–Southern
Oscillation – ENSO; Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation – AMO; Pacific
Decadal Oscillation – PDO; North Atlantic Oscillation – NAO), regression
and wavelet analyses were deployed to identify and quantify the temporal
variability patterns of drought indices and similarity between individual
signals. Aside from a strong connection to the NAO, temperatures in the AMO
and (particularly) PDO regions were disclosed as one of the possible drivers
of inter-decadal variability in the Czech drought regime. Colder and wetter
episodes were found to coincide with increased volcanic activity, especially
in summer, while no clear signature of solar activity was found. In addition
to identification of the links themselves, their temporal stability and
structure of their shared periodicities were investigated. The oscillations
at periods of approximately 60–100 years were found to be potentially
relevant in establishing the teleconnections affecting the long-term
variability of central European droughts.