Climate change versus land-use change—What affects the ecosystem services more in the forest-steppe ecotone?

Cui, Fengqi; Wang, Bojie; Zhang, Qin; Tang, Hongqu; Maeyer, Philippe De; Hamdi, Rafiq; Dai, Luwei

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143525

Cited by 69 publications

(29 citation statements)

References 75 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…There have been many studies about the impact of LULC change on ES [29][30][31], and most of them focus on assessing the overall sensitivity of ES to LULC change [32,33], or analyzing the driving process of LULC changes affecting ES based on temperature, precipitation, population, and economy [34][35][36]. However, most studies only regard LULC changes as the result of land policy or human activities, and fail to distinguish between natural and human-induced processes in land cover changes.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Land Use and Land Cover Change in the Yellow River Basin from 1980 to 2015 and Its Impact on the Ecosystem Services

Liu

Pan

et al. 2021

Land

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Land use and land cover change is an important driving force for changes in ecosystem services. We defined several important human-induced land cover change processes such as Ecological Restoration Project, Cropland Expansion, Land Degradation, and Urbanization by the land use / land cover transition matrix method. We studied human-induced land cover changes in the Yellow River Basin from 1980 to 2015 and evaluated its impact on ecosystem service values by the benefit transfer method and elasticity coefficient. The results show that the cumulative area of human-induced land cover change reaches 65.71 million ha from 1980 to 2015, which is close to the total area of the Yellow River Basin. Before 2000, Ecological Restoration Project was the most important human-induced land cover change process. However, due to the large amount of cropland expansion and land degradation, the area of natural vegetation was reduced and the ecosystem value declined. Since 2000, due to the implementation of the "Grain for Green" program, the natural vegetation of upstream area and midstream area of Yellow River Basin has been significantly improved. This implies that under an appropriate policy framework, a small amount of human-induced land cover change can also improve ecosystem services significantly.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Land Use and Land Cover Change in the Yellow River Basin from 1980 to 2015 and Its Impact on the Ecosystem Services

Liu

Pan

et al. 2021

Land

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…However, WC was mainly determined by climate factors and fluctuated with precipitation variation. The study of Cui et al [70] had demonstrated that the spatial change of WC was consistent with that of precipitation.…”

Section: Exploring the Driving Mechanisms Of Essmentioning

confidence: 86%

“…ESs were deeply influenced by natural environment, socioeconomic and policies factors [33]. Different from previous studies [70,71], we quantitatively investigated linear or nonlinear relationships between ESs and driving factors based on GAM. Although relevant studies had elaborated that land use was the primary driver of ES changes, most of the results were only presented in the form of qualitative description [32,71].…”

Section: Exploring the Driving Mechanisms Of Essmentioning

confidence: 99%

Detecting the Complex Relationships and Driving Mechanisms of Key Ecosystem Services in the Central Urban Area Chongqing Municipality, China

et al. 2021

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Ecosystem services (ESs) are highly vulnerable to human activities. Understanding the relationships among multiple ESs and driving mechanisms are crucial for multi-objective management in complex social-ecological systems. The goals of this study are to quantitatively evaluate and identify ESs hotspots, explore the relationships among ESs and elucidate the driving mechanisms. Taking central urban area Chongqing municipality as the study area, biodiversity (BI), carbon fixation (CF), soil conservation (SC) and water conservation (WC) were evaluated based on the InVEST model and ESs hotspots were identified. The complex interactions among multiple ESs were determined by utilizing multiple methods: spearman correlation analysis, bivariate local spatial autocorrelation and K-means clustering. The linear or nonlinear relationships between ESs and drivers were discussed by generalized additive models (GAMs). The results showed that during 2000–2018, except for CF that exhibited no obvious change, all other ESs showed a decrease tendency. High ESs were clustered in mountains, while ESs in urban areas were lowest. At administrative districts scale, ESs were relatively higher in Beibei, Banan and Yubei, and drastically decreased in Jiangbei. Multiple ES hotspots demonstrated clear spatial heterogeneity, which were mainly composed of forestland and distributed in mountainous areas with high altitude and steep slope. The relationships between ES pairs were synergistic at the entire scale. However, at grid scale, the synergies were mainly concentrated in the high-high and low-low clusters, i.e., mountainous areas and urban central areas. Five ESs bundles presented the interactions among multiple ESs, which showed well correspondence with social-ecological conditions. GAMs indicated that forestland and grassland had positive impact on BI and CF. Additionally, SC was mainly determined by geomorphological factors, while WC were mainly influenced by precipitation. Furthermore, policy factors were confirmed to have a certain positive effect on ESs. This study provides credible references for ecosystem management and urban planning.

show abstract

“…There is a clear relationship between anthropogenic activities, climate change, and their impact on ecosystems [2,55,56]. Climate change is an essential driver of the distribution of biomes on Earth, and several predictions indicate that in the future, climate change could alter the environmental conditions of different ecosystems in response to human activities [26].…”

Section: Introduction 1land Use and Land Cover Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This effect could have indirect consequences on LULC change, and at the same time, this phenomenon could cause human activities to accelerate the impact of climate change on a global scale [2,30]. LULC change could influence ecosystem processes by altering the land surface's physical properties, such as albedo, roughness, and evapotranspiration [55]. Therefore, it is essential to combine species/ecosystem correlative models with LULC change models to make projections considering different factors that may affect potential ecosystem distributions [26].…”

Section: Introduction 1land Use and Land Cover Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Scenarios for Land Use in Chile: Identifying Drivers of Change and Impacts over Protected Area System

Benavidez-Silva

Jensen

2021

Land

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Chile is a country that depends on the extraction and export of its natural resources. This phenomenon has exacerbated different processes of transformation and disturbance of natural and human ecosystems. Land use change has become a key factor for the transformation of ecosystems, causing consequences for biodiversity conservation. In this study, current and future (2030, 2050 and 2080) land use categories were evaluated. Land use projections were analysed together with models of ecosystem distribution in Chile under different climate scenarios, to finally analyse different dynamics of land use change within the protected areas system. In all the scenarios evaluated, land use projections showed an increase in the areas of industrial forest plantations and urban areas and a decrease in natural and agricultural areas could be expected. In relation to ecosystem modeling, vegetational formations located in the center and south of the country could be expected to decrease, while vegetational formations in the north and center of the country could extend their surface area. Inside Chile’s protected area network, anthropic disturbances are currently undergoing expansion, which could have consequences for ecosystems and protected areas located in the central and central–south zones of Chile.

show abstract

Climate change versus land-use change—What affects the ecosystem services more in the forest-steppe ecotone?

Cited by 69 publications

References 75 publications

Land Use and Land Cover Change in the Yellow River Basin from 1980 to 2015 and Its Impact on the Ecosystem Services

Land Use and Land Cover Change in the Yellow River Basin from 1980 to 2015 and Its Impact on the Ecosystem Services

Detecting the Complex Relationships and Driving Mechanisms of Key Ecosystem Services in the Central Urban Area Chongqing Municipality, China

Future Scenarios for Land Use in Chile: Identifying Drivers of Change and Impacts over Protected Area System

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About