Climate change: reshaping mortality differences within the United Kingdom?

Naqvi, Rabia; Hall, Mary Banham

doi:10.1017/s1357321718000193

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…The association of temperature and mortality was also confirmed in nine European cities [15]. Naqvi and Hall [16] investigated the effect of future mean temperature on older adult mortality in England, Wales, and Scotland and found that there is a U-shape relationship between temperature and mortality and there exist a range of temperatures at which the mortality is higher on its both sides of the range. In Iran, the mortality and diurnal temperature range association study showed that, in high diurnal temperature ranges during the hot season, the Cumulative Relative Risk of non-accidental deaths, and cardiovascular and respiratory deaths increased, whereas in cold season, the high diurnal temperature range caused a lower number of deaths [17].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 82%

Modeling the Impact of High Temperature on Mortality in Pakistan

Barakzai

Burney

2021

Sustainability

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The objective of this paper is to model and study the impact of high temperature on mortality in Pakistan. For this purpose, we have used mortality and climate data consisting of maximum temperature, variation in monthly temperature, average rainfall, humidity, dewpoint, as well as average air pressure in the country over the period from 2000 to 2019. We have used the Generalized Linear Model with Quasi-Poisson link function to model the number of deaths in the country and to assess the impact of maximum temperature on mortality. We have found that the maximum temperature in the country has a significant impact on mortality. The number of deaths in Pakistan increases as the maximum temperature increases. We found that, as the maximum temperature increase beyond 30 °C, mortality increases significantly. Our results indicate that mortality increases by 27% when the maximum temperature in the country increases from medium category to a very high level. Similarly, the number of deaths in the country increases by 11% when the temperature increases from medium temperature to high level. Furthermore, our study found that when the maximum temperature in the country decreases from a medium level to a low level, the number of deaths in the country decreases by 23%. This study does not consider the impact of other factors on mortality, such as age, medical conditions, gender, geographical location, as well as variability of temperature across the country.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 82%