Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems

Lindner, Marcus; Maroschek, Michael; Netherer, Sigrid; Kremer, Antoine; Barbati, Anna; García-Gonzalo, Jordi; Seidl, Rupert; Delzon, Sylvain; Corona, Piermaria; Kolström, Marja; Lexer, Manfred J.; Marchetti, Marco

doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.023

Cited by 1,857 publications

(1,381 citation statements)

References 137 publications

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“…Forest ecosystems and the services they provide for society are increasingly under pressure from climate change (Lindner et al 2010). Recent research has shown that future climate change is likely to profoundly alter all main processes of forest dynamics, i.e.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The sensitivity of current and future forest managers to climate-induced changes in ecological processes

Seidl

Aggestam

Rammer

et al. 2015

Ambio

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Climate vulnerability of managed forest ecosystems is not only determined by ecological processes but also influenced by the adaptive capacity of forest managers. To better understand adaptive behaviour, we conducted a questionnaire study among current and future forest managers (i.e. active managers and forestry students) in Austria. We found widespread belief in climate change (94.7 % of respondents), and no significant difference between current and future managers. Based on intended responses to climate-induced ecosystem changes, we distinguished four groups: highly sensitive managers (27.7 %), those mainly sensitive to changes in growth and regeneration processes (46.7 %), managers primarily sensitive to regeneration changes (11.2 %), and insensitive managers (14.4 %). Experiences and beliefs with regard to disturbance-related tree mortality were found to particularly influence a manager's sensitivity to climate change. Our findings underline the importance of the social dimension of climate change adaptation, and suggest potentially strong adaptive feedbacks between ecosystems and their managers.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The sensitivity of current and future forest managers to climate-induced changes in ecological processes

Seidl

Aggestam

Rammer

et al. 2015

Ambio

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“…3, 4) as shown for poplar by Ceulemans et al (1987) and such differences have been related to the differences in length of the growing period (Yu et al 2001b). Clones with earlier leaf flushing apparently had longer growing period, which allows to assimilate more nutrients and thus to increase growth (Barbaroux and Breda 2002;Pallardy 2008), as observed for boreal forests (Boisvenue and Running 2006;Lindner et al 2010).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 89%

“…Under changing climate, vegetation period in Europe has extended (Menzel and Fabian 1999) increasing productivity of tree growth in northern latitudes (Boisvenue and Running 2006;Lindner et al 2010) that seems advantageous for forestry. On the other hand, the fit of environmental conditions throughout the growing season to the physiological demands (i.e.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Height increment of hybrid aspen <i>Populus tremuloides</i> x <i>P. tremula</i> as a function of weather conditions in central part of Latvia

Jansons¹,

Zeps²,

Rieksts-Riekstiņš³

et al. 2014

Silva Fenn.

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Height increment of hybrid aspen Populus tremuloides × P. tremula as a function of weather conditions in south-western part of Latvia Jansons Ā., Zeps M., Rieksts-Riekstiņš J., Matisons R., Krišāns O. (2014). Height increment of hybrid aspen Populus tremuloides × P. tremula as a function of weather conditions in southwestern part of Latvia. Silva Fennica vol. 48 no. 5 article id 1124. 13 p. Highlights• Intra-annual height growth of hybrid aspen was monitored.• Clones with early leaf flushing dates showed faster height growth.• Height growth was generally controlled by temperature.• Fast-growing hybrids were more robust to weather conditions than slow-growing ones.• Potential evapotranspiration (moisture regime) negatively affected height growth of clones with delayed phenology. AbstractHeight growth of young hybrid aspen (Populus tremula L. × P. tremuloides Michx.) was studied in relation to weather conditions. Height of clones with different leaf flushing phenology (early, intermediate and late) was monitored during the growing periods of 2010 and 2011 in a plantation established on former agricultural land. Mean daily height increment (HI) was calculated. Multiple linear regression was used to determine which weather factors (variables) had significant effect on HI. Mean seasonal height growth (mean seasonal HI) between clones (groups) was compared by ANOVA. In both years, HI was significantly higher for clones with early and intermediate leaf flushing compared to clones with late leaf flushing. The effect of weather factors also differed between clones according to their leaf flushing phenology; it was the weakest for HI of clones with early leaf flushing compared to clones with intermediate and late leaf flushing. Mean temperature was the main factor, which positively affected HI of all clones, suggesting that warmer climate might be beneficial for height growth of young hybrid aspen in Latvia. Nevertheless, significant negative relationship between HI and potential evapotranspiration (PET) was observed for clones with delayed leaf flushing, suggesting negative effect of increasing variability of precipitation on growth. Thus, the differences in height growth intensity might be related to growth sensitivity to weather conditions. On the other hand, such differences in height growth between clones might be caused by competition (i.e. with herbs), as trees with early leaf flushing might conquer more resources and become more robust against the environmental fluctuation.

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“…Climate change is increasingly accepted as a major issue facing human societies (Houghton et al 2001), and it is recognized as a serious challenge affecting our planet, its people, the environment, and the economy (Lindner et al 2010). …”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Socio-economic vulnerability to climate change in the central mountainous region of eastern Mexico

Esperón-Rodríguez

Bonifacio-Bautista

Barradas

2015

Ambio

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Climate change effects are expected to be more severe for some segments of society than others. In Mexico, climate variability associated with climate change has important socio-economic and environmental impacts. From the central mountainous region of eastern Veracruz, Mexico, we analyzed data of total annual precipitation and mean annual temperature from 26 meteorological stations and from General Circulation Models. We developed climate change scenarios based on the observed trends with projections to 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2100, finding considerable local climate changes with reductions in precipitation of over 700 mm and increases in temperature of *9°C for the year 2100. Deforested areas located at windward were considered more vulnerable, representing potential risk for natural environments, local communities, and the main crops cultivated (sugarcane, coffee, and corn). Socio-economic vulnerability is exacerbated in areas where temperature increases and precipitation decreases.

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Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems

Cited by 1,857 publications

References 137 publications

The sensitivity of current and future forest managers to climate-induced changes in ecological processes

The sensitivity of current and future forest managers to climate-induced changes in ecological processes

Height increment of hybrid aspen <i>Populus tremuloides</i> x <i>P. tremula</i> as a function of weather conditions in central part of Latvia

Socio-economic vulnerability to climate change in the central mountainous region of eastern Mexico

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