Climate change effects on agricultural production: insights for adaptation strategy from the context of smallholder farmers in Dura catchment, northern Ethiopia

Tesfahunegn, Gebreyesus Brhane; Gebru, Teklebirhan Arefaine

doi:10.1007/s10708-019-10077-3

Cited by 19 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 48 publications

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“…Farmers in the study area around Lake Tana are primarily mixed crop-livestock farmers. Their traditional, subsistence-oriented farming systems are particularly vulnerable to climatic variability as seasonality and growing seasons change at a fast pace (Tesfahunegn and Gebru 2019). Here, adaptation is primarily driven by education, gender, age, wealth status, access to extension and credit, information on climate, social capital and agroecological setting (Deressa et al 2009).…”

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confidence: 99%

Farmers’ perceptions and matching climate records jointly explain adaptation responses in four communities around Lake Tana, Ethiopia

et al. 2020

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Farmers’ climate perceptions are responsible for shaping their adaptive responses and are thus essential to consider for the design of strategies to reduce vulnerability and increase resilience. In this study, we collected social data in four communities in the central Ethiopian Highlands on farmers’ climate perceptions and adaptations using group discussions and PRA tools. We related these to climate data spanning 30 years (1981 to 2010), consisting of daily minimum temperature, maximum temperature and precipitation, modelled for the four communities using global databases and regional meteorological data. We found that farmers’ climate perceptions showed considerable spatial and gender differences. Perceptions matched well with records describing climate variability, particularly in terms of the shortening and the increased variability of the rainy season, as well as the occurrence of extreme drought in recent years. Climate change, described by long-term average increases in temperature and decreases in precipitation, was perceived, but with subordinate priority. Perceived climate impacts included reduced crop yield, increased occurrence of pests and diseases and increased crop damage by extreme events and poverty. Adaptations were mainly land based and included agronomic measures, land management and ecosystem restoration. Furthermore, important gender differences in adaptation could be traced back to typical gender roles. Results highlight the risk of broadcast adaptation programs, such as the government-propagated combination of mineral fertilizers and early maturing crop varieties. Most importantly, they point to the need to consider climate variability, site- and gender-specific perceptions and priorities.

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confidence: 99%

Farmers’ perceptions and matching climate records jointly explain adaptation responses in four communities around Lake Tana, Ethiopia

et al. 2020

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“…There is an abundance of evidence on the regional, national, and global scale that environmental problems and climate changes have detrimental effects on agricultural production (Tesfahunegn and Gebru 2019). Also, many studies have confirmed the significant impact of CO 2 emissions on agricultural output (Traore et al 2020).…”

Section: Area Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Studies show that CO 2 emissions lead to higher photosynthetic rates, water loss, and ultimately increases the yield (Chandio et al 2020b;Mahato 2014). However, rising in temperature would cause a reduction in the yield of rice because above 35°C temperature harms pollen viability and spikelet sterility (Tesfahunegn and Gebru 2019). Most of the studies stated that higher temperature and a decline in precipitation cause a reduction in both crop quality and productivity (Babel et al 2011;Boansi 2017;Boonwichai et al 2019;Shrestha et al 2017).…”

Section: Area Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The average surface temperature is expected to increase by 0.6°C over the next three decades and, by the end of the century, to be 4.8°C higher than its pre-industrial age levels (IPCC 2014). Global warming is expected to trigger a series of undesirable occurrences, such as increased frequency and intensity of nature-based disasters, unpredicted changes in rainfall patterns and timing of rainy seasons, erratic climatic factors, severe heat waves, sea-level rise, surface water runoff, water scarcity, decreased soil moisture, desertification, and glacier retreats (Pickson et al 2020;Praveen and Sharma 2019;Tesfahunegn and Gebru 2019). These developments will have devastating effects on world economies and may eventually cause socio-economic turmoil.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey

Chandio

Gökmenoğlu

Ahmad

2021

Environ Sci Pollut Res

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This study assessed the long-run (LR) and short-run (SR) impacts of climatic and non-climatic factors, i.e., CO 2 emissions (CO 2 e), average level of temperature (ALT), average level of precipitation (ALP), area harvested of wheat and rice crops (AHW and (AHR), domestic credit (DCR), and agricultural labor (ALB) on wheat and rice production (WP and RP) in Turkey by using annual time series data ranging from 1980 to 2016 and by employing several econometric techniques. The autoregressive distributed lag-bounds (ARDL) approach and the Johansen and Juselius cointegration (JJC) test confirmed a valid long-term connection among underlying variables. The estimation results from the ARDL model reveal that climatic factors such as CO 2 emissions and temperature adversely affected wheat production in the long run as well as in the short run, whereas precipitation positively improved wheat production in both periods. Further results indicate that non-climatic factors like area harvested of wheat and domestic credit positively and significantly enhanced wheat production in the long run and short run. Similarly, CO 2 emissions also adversely affected rice production in both periods, while temperature and precipitation positively contributed towards rice production in both cases. In addition, area harvested of rice positively and significantly boosted rice production in the long run as well as in the short run, while domestic credit negatively influenced rice production in the long run but in the short run positively improved rice production. Additionally, the outcomes of the VECM Granger Causality for both rice and wheat production confirm that both climatic and non-climatic variables have a strong influence on the production of both crops. This study found that climate change has a deleterious influence on both wheat and rice production; therefore, the study suggests that temperature-resistant varieties of both crops should be developed and introduced by agricultural research institutions. In addition to this, up-to-date information is more needed related to climate change, and in the farming communities, it should be provided by agricultural extension workers.

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“…The country’s agricultural sector is dominated by small-scale mixed crops and low-level livestock productivity while experiencing poor extension services ( Tessema and Simane, 2021 ). The main factors influencing the low productivity of the agriculture sector in Ethiopia include traditional agricultural practices, severe land degradation caused by deforestation and overgrazing, poor institutional services (e.g., extension, credit services, and marketing), and climatic extremes, such as drought and flooding ( Deressa et al., 2011 ; Etana et al., 2020 ; Tesfahunegn and Gebru, 2021 ). Those factors weaken and negatively affect the adaptive capacity of smallholder farmers to climate change ( Jha and Gupta, 2021 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Knowledge of climate change and adaptation by smallholder farmers: evidence from southern Ethiopia

Belay

Oludhe

Mirzabaev

et al. 2022

Heliyon

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Climate change effects on agricultural production: insights for adaptation strategy from the context of smallholder farmers in Dura catchment, northern Ethiopia

Cited by 19 publications

References 48 publications

Farmers’ perceptions and matching climate records jointly explain adaptation responses in four communities around Lake Tana, Ethiopia

Farmers’ perceptions and matching climate records jointly explain adaptation responses in four communities around Lake Tana, Ethiopia

Addressing the long- and short-run effects of climate change on major food crops production in Turkey

Knowledge of climate change and adaptation by smallholder farmers: evidence from southern Ethiopia

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