2008
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0002502
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Climate Change and the Future of California's Endemic Flora

Abstract: The flora of California, a global biodiversity hotspot, includes 2387 endemic plant taxa. With anticipated climate change, we project that up to 66% will experience >80% reductions in range size within a century. These results are comparable with other studies of fewer species or just samples of a region's endemics. Projected reductions depend on the magnitude of future emissions and on the ability of species to disperse from their current locations. California's varied terrain could cause species to move in v… Show more

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Cited by 374 publications
(358 citation statements)
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References 59 publications
(89 reference statements)
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“…Califorídeos, diversidade, GLM, modelos. In recent years, species distribution models for inference of theoretical and practical questions about climate change and its influence on the probability of occurrence of species have been looked for (Loarie et al, 2008). In these prediction models, the central problem is to use information about where a species occurs and on the relevant environmental factors.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Califorídeos, diversidade, GLM, modelos. In recent years, species distribution models for inference of theoretical and practical questions about climate change and its influence on the probability of occurrence of species have been looked for (Loarie et al, 2008). In these prediction models, the central problem is to use information about where a species occurs and on the relevant environmental factors.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Seasonal water deficit may increase in the coast redwood region as climate changes over the next decades (Hayhoe et al 2004, Loarie et al 2008). This will increase plant demand for water and dependence on fog water subsidies.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Herbarium specimens have been used in combination with other numerous georeferenced specimens available through the Consortia of California Herbaria to assess the responses of different groups of plant species across the entire flora of California to temperature change (Loarie et al 2008;Wolf et al 2016). We did not evaluate reports or grey literature.…”
Section: Uses Of the Vtm Collectionmentioning
confidence: 99%