Climate change and developing country growth: the cases of Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia

Abstract

We consider the interplay of climate change impacts, global mitigation policies, and the economic interests of developing countries to 2050. Focusing on Malawi, Mozambique, and Zambia, we employ a structural approach to biophysical and economic modeling that incorporates climate uncertainty and allows for rigorous comparison of climate, biophysical, and economic outcomes across global mitigation regimes. We find that effective global mitigation policies generate two sources of benefit. First, less distorted climate outcomes result in typically more favorable and less variable economic outcomes. Second, successful global mitigation policies reduce global fossil fuel producer prices, relative to unconstrained emissions, providing a substantial terms of trade boost of structural fuel importers. Combined, these gains are on the order of or greater than estimates of mitigation costs. These results highlight the interests of most developing countries in effective global mitigation policies, even in the relatively near term, with much larger benefits post-2050.

Bibliometric analysis of peer-reviewed literature on climate change and human health with an emphasis on infectious diseases

“…The effects of climate change are global and diverse [11,14,15]. However, the impact on developing countries with limited resources and weak health systems will be more obvious [16][17][18][19][20].…”

The changing nature of hydroclimatic risks across South Africa

“…The overall area of study (Fig. 1) is an extension and complement to prior work (Arndt et al 2019;Schlosser and Strzepek 2015;and Fant et al 2015) that provides multi-sector socio-economic-environmental assessments of climate risks for developing nations across Africa, and the effectiveness of low-carbon pathways to reduce risks. This study will present a screening-level assessment of potential climate shifts over southern Africa and focus on two key hydro-climatic variables: precipitation and near-surface air temperature (T a ).…”

The Influence of Environmental Pollution and Drought on the Satisfaction With Life of Entrepreneurs in Zambia’s Mining Sector

“…Social consequences of these climate-related environmental problems include flooding, drought, which lead to the displacement of population, famine, hunger, and loss of economic livelihood. These effects occur worldwide; however, vulnerable regions in SSA such as Zambia are hit the most because of their limited economic resilience ( Arndt et al, 2019 , Fayiga et al, 2018 , Gannon et al, 2018 ). In these regions, resource scarcity from water and land leads to food insecurity and forced migration ( Nkomoki, Bavorová, & Banout, 2019 ).…”