Climate change and coffee: assessing vulnerability by modeling future climate suitability in the Caribbean island of Puerto Rico

Fain, Stephen J.; Quiñones, Maya; Álvarez-Berríos, Nora L.; Parés-Ramos, Isabel K.; Gould, William A.

doi:10.1007/s10584-017-1949-5

Cited by 49 publications

(42 citation statements)

References 32 publications

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“…In Hawaii, coffee is produced in the Kona and Ka’u districts of Hawaii Island on ~2400 ha [ 4 ], as well as on ~1400 ha on the islands of Kauai, Oahu, Maui, and Molokai [ 5 ]. In Puerto Rico, most of the coffee is produced in the Cordillera Central mountain range in the west–central region, but has recently expanded to the northern coastal plain, occupying a total of about 14,000 ha from ~4500 farms, which is down from 77,000 ha a century ago [ 6 ]. Much of the coffee industry in both countries is considered a high value specialty crop [ 5 , 7 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrated Pest Management of Coffee Berry Borer in Hawaii and Puerto Rico: Current Status and Prospects

Aristizábal¹,

Johnson²,

Shriner³

et al. 2017

Insects

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The coffee berry borer (CBB), Hypothenemus hampei, is the most significant insect pest of coffee worldwide. Since CBB was detected in Puerto Rico in 2007 and Hawaii in 2010, coffee growers from these islands are facing increased costs, reduced coffee quality, and increased pest management challenges. Here, we outline the CBB situation, and summarize the findings of growers, researchers, and extension professionals working with CBB in Hawaii. Recommendations for the Integrated Pest Management (IPM) program for CBB in Hawaiian Islands and Puerto Rico include: (1) establish a CBB monitoring program, (2) synchronize applications of insecticides with peak flight activity of CBB especially during the early coffee season, (3) conduct efficient strip-picking as soon as possible after harvest and perform pre-harvest sanitation picks in CBB hotspots if needed, (4) establish protocols to prevent the escape of CBB from processing areas and when transporting berries during harvest, and (5) stump prune by blocks. Progress achieved includes the introduction of the mycoinsecticide Beauveria bassiana to coffee plantations, the coordination of area-wide CBB surveys, the establishment and augmentation of native beetle predators, and an observed reduction of CBB populations and increased coffee quality where IPM programs were established. However, CBB remains a challenge for coffee growers due to regional variability in CBB pressures, high costs, and labor issues, including a lack of training and awareness of CBB management practices among growers.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrated Pest Management of Coffee Berry Borer in Hawaii and Puerto Rico: Current Status and Prospects

Aristizábal¹,

Johnson²,

Shriner³

et al. 2017

Insects

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“…The destruction of coffee trees following Maria was the worst since Hurricane George in 1998, with many producers losing their entire harvest and most of their trees (Newton and Quinones Garcia 2017). With outmigration (depopulation), the coffee sector now employs a growing number of migrants from the Dominican Republic (Fain et al 2017;Gould et al 2015).…”

Section: Situational Context: the Puerto Rican Economy And The 2017 Hmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Local production does not meet domestic coffee demand, increasing imports of lowquality coffee. Nevertheless, in 2012, coffee was the fifth most important source of revenue in Puerto Rico's agricultural GDP (Fain et al 2017;Gould et al 2015) and remains an important agricultural crop, despite the fact that the number of coffee farms and area under cultivation declined between 2007 and 2012 (Gould et al…”

Section: Case Study: Coffee-growing Regionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…11 Reconstruction of the coffee industry is under threat by climate change. Warming and drying trends are likely to accelerate after 2040 and could result in top-producing municipalities losing 60-84% of their production suitability by 2070 (Fain et al 2017). In light of this ecological uncertainty and economic stagnation, the current post-disaster context provides an opportunity to think strategically about the coffee sector's reconstruction and socially inclusive growth.…”

Section: ; National Agricultural Statistics Service 2014)mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Decolonizing Resilience: The Case of Reconstructing the Coffee Region of Puerto Rico After Hurricanes Irma and Maria

Borges-Méndez

Caron

2019

J. of Extr. Even.

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The term resilience has saliency in the scholarship and policy on post-disaster management and disaster-risk reduction. In this paper, we assess the use of resilience as a concept for post-disaster reconstruction in Puerto Rico and offer a critique of the standard definition. This critique focuses on the primacy of Puerto Rico’s colonial relations with the United States meshed with decades of political mismanagement of the island’s economic and natural resources by local authorities and political parties. For resilience to be a useful conceptual device, we argue for decolonizing resilience and show the relevance of such an argument through a case study of the island’s coffee-growing region. Decolonizing resilience exposes power inequities and the individuating nature of post-disaster reconstruction to illustrate how collective action and direct participation of local actors and communities carves out autonomous spaces of engagement. Decolonizing resilience necessitates a contextualized analysis of resilience, taking into account “the politics of resilience” embedded in the island’s colonial history and the policy bottlenecks it creates.

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“…A 65% reduction in indigenous C. arabica-growing areas in Ethiopia is projected by 2050; by 2080, the reduction is projected to increase to close to 100% [61]. Projections for Puerto Rico are also dire; by 2071-2099, only 24 km 2 are projected to be suitable for coffee production [62]. Projected reductions in suitable coffee growing areas by 2050 in many other countries have also been reported [63][64][65].…”

Section: Climate Impacts On Current Coffee Production Areasmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change, Carbon Dioxide, and Pest Biology, Managing the Future: Coffee as a Case Study

et al. 2018

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The challenge of maintaining sufficient food, feed, fiber, and forests, for a projected end of century population of between 9-10 billion in the context of a climate averaging 2-4 • C warmer, is a global imperative. However, climate change is likely to alter the geographic ranges and impacts for a variety of insect pests, plant pathogens, and weeds, and the consequences for managed systems, particularly agriculture, remain uncertain. That uncertainty is related, in part, to whether pest management practices (e.g., biological, chemical, cultural, etc.) can adapt to climate/CO 2 induced changes in pest biology to minimize potential loss. The ongoing and projected changes in CO 2 , environment, managed plant systems, and pest interactions, necessitates an assessment of current management practices and, if warranted, development of viable alternative strategies to counter damage from invasive alien species and evolving native pest populations. We provide an overview of the interactions regarding pest biology and climate/CO 2 ; assess these interactions currently using coffee as a case study; identify the potential vulnerabilities regarding future pest impacts; and discuss possible adaptive strategies, including early detection and rapid response via EDDMapS (Early Detection & Distribution Mapping System), and integrated pest management (IPM), as adaptive means to improve monitoring pest movements and minimizing biotic losses while improving the efficacy of pest control.can encompass simple to sophisticated strategies (e.g., from hoeing to modifying the environment to utilize ecosystem services) to manage pest populations and ensuing damage.Recent and projected increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentration are expected to continue with a potential 2× increase over current CO 2 levels, and subsequent, concomitant increases in average temperature between 0.15 and 0.3 • C, per decade, by 2100 [3,4]. Such projections, as well as recent potential changes in extreme events, increase the degree of uncertainty of how these environmental changes could impact pest biology (insects, plant pathogens, weeds), and the consequences for future biotic losses from managed plant systems.Recent and projected increases in atmospheric CO 2 could change pest biology in two essential ways. The first is related to physical changes in the environment incurred as CO 2 increases. Such increases, along with other radiation trapping gases (e.g., CH 4 , N 2 O), will increase surface temperatures [5], cause changes in precipitation frequency [6], and alter the diurnal temperature range (DTR) [7], as well as the magnitude and distribution of extreme weather events [8]. A second essential consequence is the "fertilization" effect of rising CO 2 on plant photosynthesis; approximately 95% of plant species, those that rely solely on the C 3 photosynthetic pathway, could increase growth and reproduction as CO 2 increases, including agronomic and invasive weeds. There are hundreds of studies and several meta-analyses showing that both recen...

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Climate change and coffee: assessing vulnerability by modeling future climate suitability in the Caribbean island of Puerto Rico

Cited by 49 publications

References 32 publications

Integrated Pest Management of Coffee Berry Borer in Hawaii and Puerto Rico: Current Status and Prospects

Integrated Pest Management of Coffee Berry Borer in Hawaii and Puerto Rico: Current Status and Prospects

Decolonizing Resilience: The Case of Reconstructing the Coffee Region of Puerto Rico After Hurricanes Irma and Maria

Climate Change, Carbon Dioxide, and Pest Biology, Managing the Future: Coffee as a Case Study

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