Climate Change and Adaptive Management: Case Study in Agriculture, Forestry and Pastoral Areas

Xuan, Xin; Liu, Bing; Zhang, Fan

doi:10.3390/land10080832

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 48 publications

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“…Mere prilagođavanja, koje se sprovode na nivou poljoprivrednog gazdinstva, podeljene su na agrotehničke / agrotehnološke i komercijalno-poslovnoekonomske mere. Na osnovu rezultata prethodnih studija ističemo neke od najvažnijih mera prilagođavanja farmi klimatskim promenama (Stokes, Howden, 2010; Xuan et al, 2021).…”

Section: Strategije Prilagođavanja Klimatskim Promenama Za Poljoprivr...unclassified

Efekti klimatskih promena na profitabilnost u biljnoj proizvodnji

Prodanović¹,

Bojat²,

Brkić³

et al. 2023

Ecologica

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Sažetak: Efekti klimatskih promena, kao što su ekstremne temperature, suše, poplave, oluje i dr., sve više zabrinjavaju poljoprivrednike. Cilj rada je saznati kako su se menjali nivoi prihoda i pokazatelji profitabilnosti u biljnoj proizvodnji, te kako se poljoprivredna gazdinstva prilagođavaju klimatskim promenama. Pregled literature bavi se klimatskim promenama i njihovim uzrocima, efektima i strategijama prilagođavanja, koje poljoprivrednicima stoje na raspolaganju. Empirijski deo se zasniva na kvantitativnoj komparativnoj analizi, za koju se koriste podaci dobijeni polustrukturiranim intervjuom sa dva slična poljoprivredna gazdinstva za period 2018-2022. Rezultati pokazuju da su prihodi od prodaje bili neujednačeni u posmatranom periodu, što je uzrokovano sušom i prekomernom vlagom. U 2019. god. bilo je mnogo sušnih perioda, pa su prinosi ozimih useva podbacili. U 2022. god. leto je bilo veoma suvo, pa su ostvareni veoma niski prinosi. Kalkulacija pokazuje da je profit ostvaren u svih pet godina i da je veoma promenljiva kategorija, a kretao se od 5 569 € do 183 662 na godišnjem nivou. Takođe, bilo je godina kada je promena prihoda od prodaje bila negativna u odnosu na prethodnu godinu. Važno bi bilo opredeliti adekvatnu strategiju prilagođavanja klimatskim promenama, kako bi se osigurao stabilan razvoj biljne proizvodnje. To uključuje osiguranje, preferenciju konvencionalnih praksi, ranu setvu, vreme setve, stvaranje zalihe semena, korištenje regulatora rasta, ozime useve i otpornije sorte, a što su poljoprivrednici delom i praktikovali.

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Section: Strategije Prilagođavanja Klimatskim Promenama Za Poljoprivr...unclassified

Efekti klimatskih promena na profitabilnost u biljnoj proizvodnji

Prodanović¹,

Bojat²,

Brkić³

et al. 2023

Ecologica

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“…The Mann-Kendal test is performed to assess whether or not there has been a change in climate data, a ranking-based non-parametric method for evaluating data over a long, monotonous period [20]. Statistical tests can be performed using the Mann-Kendall Test method to assess data trends.…”

Section: Climate Change Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The steps taken are as follows: (a) formulating hypotheses (b) determining significant level (α), (c) finding the Z value (criteria for normal testing). Furthermore, the Sen's Slope Estimator (SSE) was carried out to do estimation on the slope of the trend and the divergence of the constant residuals over time by using a linear model [20].…”

Section: Climate Change Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Transformation of land use and land cover and its implication to the local climate in Aceh Besar District, Aceh, Indonesia

Ramli,

Achmad,

Nizamuddin

et al. 2023

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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Many researchers claim that human influence on local climate change is unavoidable. Global climate change can cause catastrophic damage (disturbing human health, ecosystems, and socio-economic aspects). Characteristics of areas that affect rainfall, such as topography, slope, and land use and cover (LULC). This study aimed to specify the relationship between LULC changes and the local climate context in Aceh Besar District. LULC changes are analyzed with a transformation matrix. The method used to determine the occurrence of climate change is the Mann-Kendall Test, which looks at whether there is a trend in a data series based on the relative rankings of the data spanning 1992-2020. The Mann-Kendall test analysis results show that climate variables that change significantly on rainy days are weather temperature, humidity, and wind speeds. The statistical test results show that there has been a change in the local climate, as indicated by the variables of The Sen’s Slope Estimator test results in an increase in temperature of 0.002°C every year, and humidity increases by 0.01%. When viewed from LULC, one of the influences is changing (2000-2020) from forest, cropland, and bareland to built-up areas.

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Adapting nomadic pastoralism to climate change

2023

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This paper presents the results of a detailed review of the research literature on how nomadic pastoralists are being affected by climate change, how they are adapting, and challenges with using traditional knowledge in adaptation. It focuses on research that investigates local, and particularly traditional, knowledge of water, pasture, their variability, and livestock. This knowledge underpins nomadic livelihoods, so is a foundation for effective adaptation. Changes in the total amount of precipitation, and particularly shifts in its timing, and increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme events, are having the greatest impacts on herding livelihoods. Herders in drylands worldwide face common adaptation challenges: declining traditional water sources and pasture degradation. Herders’ adaptation strategies fall into five major categories: movement to areas with better water and pasture, improving seasonal access to water, improving seasonal access to feed, shifts in herd composition, and livelihood diversification. Movement is central to nomads’ adaptation, yet, as climate change takes hold, restrictions on movement are increasing for both socio-economic reasons and climate reasons. Many papers emphasised the importance of combining traditional knowledge and current science to guide adaptation decision-making at household, locality, and national levels. There is widespread concern about the decline in traditional knowledge. All the papers reviewed emphasised the need to support passing on traditional know-how. Herder women’s know-how, in particular, is marginalised in the research literature, so their traditional knowledge should be a focus in further research. Herders’ adaptations are mostly localised, incremental, and have a relatively short-term focus. As nomadic pastoralism moves further outside the range of historical experience, the possibility of more profound transformations looms.

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Climate Change and Adaptive Management: Case Study in Agriculture, Forestry and Pastoral Areas

Cited by 5 publications

References 48 publications

Efekti klimatskih promena na profitabilnost u biljnoj proizvodnji

Efekti klimatskih promena na profitabilnost u biljnoj proizvodnji

Transformation of land use and land cover and its implication to the local climate in Aceh Besar District, Aceh, Indonesia

Adapting nomadic pastoralism to climate change

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