Climate Change, Agriculture and Rural Communities’ Vulnerability in the Nile Delta

Gouda, Dalia M.

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-41629-4_22

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…There are about 3.8 million hectares of agricultural land in Egypt (old lands and new lands) covering about 4% of Egypt's total area. Agriculture land in the Nile Delta occupies about 2% of Egypt's land area [48].…”

Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

Decomposition Analysis of Virtual Water Outflows for Major Egyptian Exporting Crops to the European Union

2023

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International trade can spur economic growth, but it can also deplete the water resources needed to produce traded goods. This is crucial for Egypt as a lower-middle income country where boosting agricultural exports is encouraged to promote the sustainable agriculture development strategy. The objective of this paper was to quantify Egypt’s virtual water flows contributing to agricultural trade with one of its main trading partners, the European Union. We considered calculating virtual water of exports since 2001 as it represents Egypt-EU’s implementation of the association agreement. We focused on the five governorates of the Nile Delta. These governorates are major producers of the five major crops exported to the European Union. This study used long-term trade trends, and changes in crop composition to analyze the implications for virtual water outflows and economic water use efficiency. By decomposing the virtual water of exports, we were able to identify the trend of virtual water outflows and the factors affecting this trend. From both an economic and water perspective, our results suggest that adopting a policy aimed at saving water resources at the national level and focusing on high-yield exports at the international level will promote the development agenda of Egypt.

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Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

Decomposition Analysis of Virtual Water Outflows for Major Egyptian Exporting Crops to the European Union

2023

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“…Owing to their paramount importance, the lowlying deltaic systems have broadly attracted special attention as land/sea interfaces and as hotspots of climate change-related threats [8,9,[14][15][16][17]. The Nile Delta was identified as one of the most vulnerable regions to adverse influences related to climate change, including sealevel rise and seawater intrusion [2,18,19], and accelerated coastal erosion [1], threatening the agricultural and rural communities [20,21]. At the same time, the region's adaptive capacity and mitigative/adjustable capability with these implications are weak since its marginal ecosystem can be described as fragile or highly susceptible to climate change.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Satellite-Based Discrimination of Urban Dynamics-Induced Local Bias from Day/Night Temperature Trends across the Nile Delta, Egypt: A Basis for Climate Change Impacts Assessment

Abbas

Islam

2022

Sustainability

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The Nile Delta is the most vital region of the desert-dominated country of Egypt. Due to its prominent level of vulnerability to climate change’s negative impacts and its low capacity for adaptation and mitigation, the current study aims to provide accurate quantification of temperature change across the Nile Delta as an integral basis for sustainability and climate change impacts assessment studies. This was achieved through monitoring urban dynamics and detecting LST trends in 91 cities and their rural surroundings. The relevant local urban bias was discriminated from regional/background changes present in diurnal/nocturnal temperature records. The temperature records were then corrected/adjusted by removing this urban bias. Owing to the insufficiency of ground-based meteorological observatories, the investigation utilized moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) land surface temperatures (LSTs) and Landsat-based datasets (2000–2021). The widely used Mann–Kendall test (MKT) and Theil–Sen estimator (TSE) were employed to assess trends in urban sprawl, LST time series, and the implied association. The analysis revealed that the region has experienced dramatic urbanization, where the total urban expansion was greater than two-thirds (69.1%) of the original urban area in 2000. This was accompanied by a notable warming trend in the day/night and urban/rural LST records. The nocturnal LST exhibited a warming tendency (0.072 °C year−1) larger than the diurnal equivalent (0.065 °C year−1). The urban dynamics were positively correlated with LST trends, whereas the Mediterranean Sea appeared as a significant anti-urbanization moderator, in addition to the Nile River and the prevailing northerly/northwesterly winds. The urban–rural comparison approach disclosed that the urbanization process caused a warming bias in the nighttime LST trend by 0.017 °C year−1 (21.8%) and a cooling bias in the daytime by −0.002 °C year−1 (4.4%). All results were statistically significant at a confidence level of 99%. It is recommended that studies of climate-related sustainability and climate change impact assessment in the Nile Delta should apply a distinction of urban-induced local effect when quantifying the actual regional temperature change.

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Beyond Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation Strategies, and Influencing Factors

et al. 2022

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Climate Change, Agriculture and Rural Communities’ Vulnerability in the Nile Delta

Cited by 4 publications

References 28 publications

Decomposition Analysis of Virtual Water Outflows for Major Egyptian Exporting Crops to the European Union

Decomposition Analysis of Virtual Water Outflows for Major Egyptian Exporting Crops to the European Union

Satellite-Based Discrimination of Urban Dynamics-Induced Local Bias from Day/Night Temperature Trends across the Nile Delta, Egypt: A Basis for Climate Change Impacts Assessment

Beyond Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation Strategies, and Influencing Factors

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