Climate-adjusted provenancing: a strategy for climate-resilient ecological restoration

Prober, Suzanne M.; Byrne, Margaret; McLean, Elizabeth; Steane, Dorothy A.; Potts, Brad M.; Vaillancourt, René E.; Stock, William D.

doi:10.3389/fevo.2015.00065

Cited by 257 publications

(297 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…An upstream dam was built above the trial at age 30 years, but this occurred after the decline of the local provenance had commenced. Breed et al 2013;Prober et al 2015), have been proposed towards this goal and are beginning to be implemented as tools for restoration practitioners (e.g. P.A.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Indeed, emerging strategies argue that it may be prudent to include a mix of local and non-local provenances to guard against uncertainty (e.g. Breed et al 2013;Prober et al 2015).…”

Section: Interactions and Wildcardsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…widespread, disjunct or narrow endemics), functional types (e.g. bird versus insect pollinated) and evolutionary groupings (Aitken & Whitlock 2013;Hoffmann et al 2015;Prober et al 2015). Parallel studies of interacting factors are needed so that genetic risk can be better incorporated into such frameworks.…”

Section: Future Directionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate adaptation and ecological restoration in eucalypts

Prober¹,

Potts²,

Bailey³

et al. 2016

Proc. R. Soc. Vic.

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Eucalypts are the cornerstone of ecological restoration efforts across the highly modified agricultural landscapes of southern Australia. \u27Local provenancing\u27 is the established strategy for sourcing germplasm for ecological restoration plantings, yet this approach gives little consideration to the persistence of these plantings under future climates. This paper provides a synopsis of recent and ongoing research that the authors are undertaking on climate adaptation in eucalypts, combining new genomic approaches with ecophysiological evidence from provenance trials. These studies explore how adaptive diversity is distributed within and among populations, whether populations are buffered against change through capacity for phenotypic plasticity, and how this informs provenancing strategies. Results to date suggest that eucalypts have some capacity to respond to future environmental instability through adaptive phenotypic plasticity or selection of putatively adaptive alleles. Despite this, growing evidence suggests that eucalypts will still be vulnerable to change. Provenancing strategies that exploit adaptations found in non-local provenances could thus confer greater climate-resilience in ecological restoration plantings, although they will also need to account for potential interactions between climate adaptations and other factors (e.g. cryptic evolutionary variation, non-climate-related adaptations, herbivory and elevated CO2)

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Indeed, emerging strategies argue that it may be prudent to include a mix of local and non-local provenances to guard against uncertainty (e.g. Breed et al 2013;Prober et al 2015).…”

Section: Interactions and Wildcardsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate adaptation and ecological restoration in eucalypts

Prober¹,

Potts²,

Bailey³

et al. 2016

Proc. R. Soc. Vic.

Self Cite

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“…They may also facilitate production of seeds of threatened species for meaningful larger-scale translocation or restoration programs (Offord et al 2004;Cochrane et al 2007). Some unresolved aspects of SPA include the selection of appropriate genotypes for source material (Prober et al 2015), the design of SPA to maximise genetic fidelity of seeds produced, and the consequences of production processes (e.g. irrigation, fertiliser, harvesting) or maternal and climate effects on seed quality and regenerative traits (Broadhurst et al 2016;Nevill et al 2016).…”

Section: Emerging Themes and Future Directionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seeds at the forefront: synthesis of the inaugural National Seed Science Forum and future directions in Australian seed science

Offord

Guja

Turner³

et al. 2017

Aust. J. Bot.

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Abstract. Seed science is fundamental to many fields of endeavour, from agricultural production, to restoration, and conservation of threatened species and communities. This is especially the case in Australia which has seen hugely increased involvement and outputs from seed scientists across many sectors over the last three decades. This escalation in research is reflected in the program and outcomes of the first National Seed Science Forum that was held in March 2016 and was attended by delegates representing many scientific institutions, industry, non-government organisations and volunteer groups. There were delegates from nine countries, and keynote presentations and workshops by global leaders in seed science. A key outcome of the Forum was the unique opportunity for discussion and collaboration across sectors.

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“…Concomitantly, there is increasing awareness of the threat anthropogenic climate change poses to this investment, and the need to explicitly consider and manage the risk through strategies such as the managed translocation of germplasm within (assisted gene flow) or outside (assisted migration) current species ranges (Erwin, 2009;Aitken and Whitlock, 2013;Lunt et al, 2013). This has prompted a discussion about seed provenance strategies that maximize the resilience of restoration plantings to the effects of projected climate change (Broadhurst et al, 2008;Sgrò et al, 2011;Breed et al, 2013;Prober et al, 2015;Hodgins and Moore, 2016).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Climate-Oriented Approach to Support Decision-Making for Seed Provenance in Ecological Restoration

Ramalho¹,

Byrne²,

Yates³

2017

Front. Ecol. Evol.

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There is increasing awareness that the long-term success of ecological restoration efforts can be compromised if projected climate change is not effectively incorporated in restoration planning. We propose an approach that aims to support the decision-making process for seed provenance selection in ecological restoration when clear genetic-based guidelines for seed transfer are not available. The approach takes advantage of the increasing availability and refinement of user-friendly web-based GIS interfaces that allow non-experts to directly access biodiversity and environmental data, and build species distribution models. It offers an easily accessible desktop method that land managers and practitioners can use to gain insight: (1) on the overall spatial implications of projected climate change to their restoration project; (2) whether assisted gene flow through climate-adjusted provenance may be appropriate for a given species at a given restoration site; and (3) how far away and in which direction from the restoration site seeds should be collected from. This approach should be used in the early stages of the restoration project to help frame the decision-making process in a climate change context, and can also be used as a platform where other lines of evidence are integrated. We advocate that, in the context of rapid climate change, the climate-adjusted provenance is a promising approach to seed sourcing in ecological restoration, and we suggest its refinement in a way that hedges against uncertainty in climatic projections.

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Climate-adjusted provenancing: a strategy for climate-resilient ecological restoration

Cited by 257 publications

References 27 publications

Climate adaptation and ecological restoration in eucalypts

Climate adaptation and ecological restoration in eucalypts

Seeds at the forefront: synthesis of the inaugural National Seed Science Forum and future directions in Australian seed science

A Climate-Oriented Approach to Support Decision-Making for Seed Provenance in Ecological Restoration

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