2018 International Conference on Computer, Information and Telecommunication Systems (CITS) 2018
DOI: 10.1109/cits.2018.8440182
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Clickstream-based outcome prediction in short video MOOCs

Abstract: In this paper, we present a data mining approach for analysing students' clickstream data logged by an e-learning platform and we propose a machine learning procedure to predict course completion of students. For this, we used data from a short MOOC course which was motivated by the teachers of elementary schools. We show that machine learning approaches can accurately predict the course outcome based on clickstream data and also highlight patterns in data which provide useful insights to MOOC developers.

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Cited by 5 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…For classifiers and predictors the main task was to predict the learning outcome using learner's activity data [27,68,122,133,143,165,173]. Other, but less frequent tasks were discipline classification [17,31,54,184,228], instructor behavior prediction [35,80,207,263], and dropout prediction [66,104].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…For classifiers and predictors the main task was to predict the learning outcome using learner's activity data [27,68,122,133,143,165,173]. Other, but less frequent tasks were discipline classification [17,31,54,184,228], instructor behavior prediction [35,80,207,263], and dropout prediction [66,104].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furukawa et al [68] used the number of views, interval of video views (e.g., 0 to 19 days), and the first access to videos in a multiple regression predictor to evaluate whether the learner will pass or fail a MOOC course. Similarly, Korosi et al [122] predicted whether a learner will pass or fail a MOOC course using random forests and bagging based on characteristics related to platform usage (e.g., scrolling actions) and not representing the video itself. In a different way to determine learning success, Lallé and Conati [133] clustered learners into low and high achievers using characteristics such as the average proportion of videos watched per week.…”
Section: Classifiers and Predictorsmentioning
confidence: 99%