Abstract:Most of the empirical literature on the relative merits of alternative exchange rate regimes uses the IMF de jure classification based on the regime that governments claim to have, abstracting from the fact that many countries that in theory follow flexible regimes intervene in the exchange market to an extent that in practice makes them indistinguishable from fixed rate regimes, and vice versa. To address this problem, in this paper we construct a de facto classification of exchange rate regimes. Using cluste… Show more
“… 2. Levy‐Yeyati and Sturzenegger (2005) also find that countries that claim to float act from time to time to stabilize their exchange rates. In an investigation of whether central banks respond to exchange rate movements, Lubik and Schorfheide (2006) report that the central banks of Canada and the United Kingdom include a nominal exchange rate in their policy rules, while the central banks of Australia and New Zealand do not. …”
A framework is developed in which inflation biases with different target variables are compared. A nominal growth target measured in consumer prices may yield less stabilization bias than a nominal income growth target. Exchange rate and inflation targets result in less stabilization bias than an income growth target the more important the terms-of-trade stabilization. Persistence in output causes excessive stabilization of productivity shocks and of shocks to the terms of trade under discretion. An inflation-weight conservative central bank is more likely under an inflation target than under an exchange rate target, and less likely under a nominal income growth target. Copyright (c) The London School of Economics and Political Science 2007.
“… 2. Levy‐Yeyati and Sturzenegger (2005) also find that countries that claim to float act from time to time to stabilize their exchange rates. In an investigation of whether central banks respond to exchange rate movements, Lubik and Schorfheide (2006) report that the central banks of Canada and the United Kingdom include a nominal exchange rate in their policy rules, while the central banks of Australia and New Zealand do not. …”
A framework is developed in which inflation biases with different target variables are compared. A nominal growth target measured in consumer prices may yield less stabilization bias than a nominal income growth target. Exchange rate and inflation targets result in less stabilization bias than an income growth target the more important the terms-of-trade stabilization. Persistence in output causes excessive stabilization of productivity shocks and of shocks to the terms of trade under discretion. An inflation-weight conservative central bank is more likely under an inflation target than under an exchange rate target, and less likely under a nominal income growth target. Copyright (c) The London School of Economics and Political Science 2007.
“…3 Les principaux déterminants des régimes de change sont fondés sur cinq approches principales : les zones monétaires optimales, la nature des chocs, la crédibilité des autorités, la trilogie impossible et l'effet de bilan lié aux engagements en devises des agents publics et privés. Levy-Yeyati, Sturzenegger et Reggio [2006] trouvent pour un échantillon de 183 pays sur la période 1974-1999 que les approches en termes de ZMO, de trilogie impossible et d'effets de bilan sont particulièrement pertinentes pour expliquer le choix des régimes de change. Von Hagen et Zhou [2004] montrent que les critères des ZMO sont pertinents pour un échantillon de plus de 100 pays en développement, pays émergents et pays en transition.…”
Résumé Cet article analyse le choix du régime de change dans les pays émergents et en développement. Nous proposons un modèle s’inscrivant dans la littérature caractérisée par la détermination d’un indice d’intervention du taux de change. Nous étendons le modèle élaboré initialement par Aizenman et Hausmann [2001] afin de faire apparaître les principaux facteurs présidant aux choix du régime de change. Le modèle est testé sur un échantillon de pays émergents et en développement. Nous déterminons la probabilité d’occurrence d’un régime de change donné en prenant en compte les déterminants du modèle théorique. Nos résultats suggèrent que les régimes intermédiaires demeurent bien adaptés aux pays émergents et en développement.
“…2 Cf Reinhart and Rogoff (2004). orLevy-Yeyati and Sturzenegger (2005) for differences between de facto and de jure ERRs. 3 Reliable data for many Eastern European countries are available only since the mid-1990s.…”
This article empirically investigates the growth performance of European noneuro area countries during the recent global crisis depending on their respective exchange rate regime. Usually, floating exchange rate regimes are considered to better help countries cope with negative real shocks. However, for countries with close ties to the euro area, the advantages of pegging their exchange rate to the euro might dominate even during such a crisis. By applying standard panel growth regressions, the empirical analysis shows that during the crisis, countries with a floating exchange rate (i.e. those that should be better able to react to a crisis) did indeed grow more successfully.
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