CLAP: Gas Saturation Prediction in Shale Gas Reservoir Using a Cascaded Convolutional Neural Network–Long Short-Term Memory Model with Attention Mechanism

Abstract

Gas saturation prediction is a crucial area of research regarding shale gas reservoirs, as it plays a vital role in optimizing development strategies and improving the efficiency of exploration efforts. Despite the advancements in deep learning techniques, accurately modeling the complex nonlinear relationships involved in gas saturation prediction remains a challenge. To address this issue, we propose a novel cascaded model, CLAP, combining convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with an attention mechanism. It effectively captures and visualizes the intricate nonlinear relationships, enabling accurate gas saturation prediction in shale gas reservoirs. In this study, nine logging curves from 27 shale gas wells in the Changning area of the Sichuan Basin were used to train the CLAP model for predicting the gas saturation of the Wufeng-Longmaxi Formation shale. Compared to the Archie and random forest models, the CLAP model exhibited enhanced accuracy in predicting shale gas saturation. Promisingly, the CLAP model demonstrates outstanding statistical performance in gas saturation prediction, achieving an impressive R2 score of 0.762 and a mean square error (MSE) score of 0.934. These positive results highlight the effectiveness and potential utility of our proposed CLAP model in accurately predicting gas saturation in shale gas reservoirs. The application of deep learning techniques, such as CNNs, LSTM, and attention mechanisms, presents a promising avenue for further advancements in this field.

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