2018
DOI: 10.1017/s1355617718000954
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Characterizing the Effects of Sex, APOE ɛ4, and Literacy on Mid-life Cognitive Trajectories: Application of Information-Theoretic Model Averaging and Multi-model Inference Techniques to the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer’s Prevention Study

Abstract: Objective: Prior research has identified numerous genetic (including sex), education, health and lifestyle factors that predict cognitive decline. Traditional model selection approaches (e.g., backward or stepwise selection) attempt to find one model that best fits the observed data, risking interpretations that only the selected predictors are important. In reality, several predictor combinations may fit similarly well but result in different conclusions (e.g., about size and significance of parameter estimat… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(9 citation statements)
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References 55 publications
(88 reference statements)
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“…In particular, confrontation naming, assessed in WRAP using the Boston Naming Test [42], was not considered. Previous analyses in this cohort have suggested there is not yet enough variability in this measure for it to be a meaningful differentiator [43]. Instead, we focused on measures that were components of one of several composites of interest to us, so that we could more easily make relevant comparisons.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In particular, confrontation naming, assessed in WRAP using the Boston Naming Test [42], was not considered. Previous analyses in this cohort have suggested there is not yet enough variability in this measure for it to be a meaningful differentiator [43]. Instead, we focused on measures that were components of one of several composites of interest to us, so that we could more easily make relevant comparisons.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Given our goal of characterizing the combined influences of multiple health behavior predictors and related interactions, we opted to use an information theoretic (IT) modeling technique detailed by our group in previous work. [26] In brief, the IT framework evaluates a set of plausible scientific hypotheses, and uses the relative strengths of information considered across all models to obtain model-averaged parameter estimates, instead of selecting a single model based on traditional model selection techniques. In so doing, after fitting all of the models of interest to each outcome (with differing combinations of health behavior predictors and interactions), results are combined across models in proportion to the relative strength of information each model contributes [26].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…[26] In brief, the IT framework evaluates a set of plausible scientific hypotheses, and uses the relative strengths of information considered across all models to obtain model-averaged parameter estimates, instead of selecting a single model based on traditional model selection techniques. In so doing, after fitting all of the models of interest to each outcome (with differing combinations of health behavior predictors and interactions), results are combined across models in proportion to the relative strength of information each model contributes [26]. The IT framework also offers advantages over a traditional model selection approach (e.g., forward or backward selection), in that it allows comparison of fits across all models and reduces over-estimation of effect sizes compared to standard models.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Health behavior predictors were converted to z-scores (mean=0, sd=1) for analyses. Further details about model fitting and diagnostics are detailed in our previous work 26 .…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%