The Impact of Chernobyl on Health and Labour Market Performance in the Ukraine * Using longitudinal data from the Ukraine we examine the extent of any long-lasting effects of radiation exposure from the Chernobyl disaster on the health and labour market performance of the adult workforce. The variation in the local area level of radiation fallout from the Chernobyl accident is considered as a potential instrument to try to establish the causal impact of poor health on labour force participation, hours worked and wages. There appears to be a significant positive association between local area-level radiation dosage and health perception based on self-reported poor health status, though much weaker associations between local area-level dosage and other specific health conditions or labour market performance. Any effects on negative health perceptions appear to be stronger among women and older individuals.
JEL Classification:H00, J00Keywords: Chernobyl, health, labour market performance 1
The Impact of Chernobyl on Health and Labour Market Performance in the Ukraine
Hartmut Lehmann and Jonathan WadsworthOn 26 th April 1986, engineers at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in the Ukraine began a series of tests on one of the nuclear reactors that lead to the world's worst civil nuclear disaster. The amount of radiation released as a consequence of the accident was far in excess of that released from the air bursts of the Hiroshima or Nagasaki atomic bombs, hitherto the focus of much research and knowledge about the consequences of radiation fallout. Yet, while much has been written, and argued, about the medical and physical consequences of Chernobyl 1 , less attention has been given to the social and economic consequences of the disaster, despite recent urgings along this line from the United Nations, (UNDP 2002). Since there are now movements in many industrialised countries toward building a new generation of nuclear power facilities as one way to address the issue of climate change, knowledge of any long-term economic consequences of such rare, low frequency events as an accident in a nuclear power plant is important.Health has long been considered to be an important determinant of labour market outcomes, such as wages, hours of work and employment, (see the references in Lleras-Muney (2005), Currie and Madrian (1999), Strauss and Thomas (1998), Kahn (1998) In what follows, we examine the relationship between exposure to radiation as a result of the Chernobyl accident and subsequent health and economic performance using longitudinal data on a sample of individuals emanating from the Ukraine. Since radiation fallout was rather randomly distributed across the Ukraine, given the prevailing wind patterns, we treat radiation exposure as an exogenous shock and first look to see whether there is any association between the level of radiation dosage in the local area of residence at the time of the disaster and a variety of self-reported health measures some seventeen years or more after the event.We then proceed...