“…In nature, most thermal regimes fluctuate, and such fluctuations can have unexpected consequences, depending on whether the fluctuations lead to cold mortality or energy savings at low temperatures, and energy drain or damage repair at higher temperatures (Colinet et al , ). Thus, warmer winters could increase survival by reducing chilling injury (Bale & Hayward, ) or allowing earlier spring emergence (van Asch et al , ; Hahn & Denlinger, ; Pozsgai & Littlewood, ), although they could decrease survival by reducing insulating snow cover (Lawrence & Slater, ), leading to exposure to lethal air temperatures (Joshi et al , ; Bale & Hayward, ) or increased rates of energy use that deplete energy reserves (Bosch & Kemp, ; Irwin & Lee, ; Williams et al , ; Hahn & Denlinger, , ). The relative importance of each of these scenarios remains to be determined and is likely to be both region and species specific.…”